In Issue 4 of Társadalomkutatás (Social Research) - 2009, the "main rehearsal" of the Delphi debate volume, initially to be edited by Kálmán Kulcsár with Károly Varga's cooperation, chose the debate-launcher out of one of the main range in the senior editor's oeuvre, the theme of modernization. Due to aspects of professional and world-view multilateralness as well as volume limitations, besides Varga's answering article, Kálmán Kulcsár chose from several contributions only the studies of two authors who were able to pronouncedly mark the poles of this spectrum, broad in both its dimensions: from law sociological and progressive directions, he chose Antal Ádám's article, from value conservative and "inter-science" angles, he chose that of Gábor Náray-Szabó. Meanwhile, however, another momentous opponency to Kulcsár's introduction was completed, written by Rezso Lovas, atomic researcher; which, due to the death of the debate's initiator, can only appear in the present Kulcsár-memorial issue of the journal. This is what the present author is trying to respond to, in Kálmán Kulcsár's spirit. He recalls, on the one hand, Kálmán Kulcsár's "thesis", according to which "the modernisation of the decades following World War II can be truly applied as a concept with an explanatory power in understanding current social phenomena and processes"; on the other hand recalling Rezso Lovas's "antithesis" about the rather negative classification of this key concept, according to which "modernisation can no longer be a leading idea any more because it is not clear where it leads to"; and thirdly, recalls Varga's writing which, although not to be taken for a "synthesis", nuances and completes Kulcsár's thesis, as well as refines some of Lovas' suggestions. He states that whereas Kálmán Kulcsár's approach reckons with a basically positive ideal-type of the concept of modernisation, embracing the original idea, the requirements and certain facts of its realization, Rezso Lovas takes note of the dysfunctional concomitant phenomena, which emerge on it according to the laws of parasitism, formulated by Csíkszentmihá lyi, destroying power sources because of malfunctioning regulation. To determine the new direction, he also borrows from Csíkszentmihályi the concept of higher complexity, in which the moments of differentiation and integration have to maintain balance. He demonstrates that this clarified national strategy-building direction of modernization can bring the conceptions of the Delphi-debate-initiator and his powerful opponent closer to each other.
The subject of this study, the step forward-which the author felt to be 'of evolutionary value' - was occasioned by a Delphi discussion. The debate was opened by Varga's (2003, 2006a) contrastive exposition of diagnoses of present history with respect to Hungary's accession to the European Union, offered by some leading Hungarian sociologists (Henrik Kreutz, Kálmán Kulcsár, Iván Szelényi, Iván Vitányi), in which he tried to place the views of these authors in a value sociological system by Charles Morris (1956, 1964) and Geert Hofstede (1991). In Morris' case, this involved recourse to his combination of two systems: one semiotic, the other axiological; in Hofstede's, to his system of 'software of the mind' embracing axiology and organizational psychology. This synthesis was opposed by Kreutz (2006a) who offered a new ordering principle which he advanced as truer to life. The present confrontation between the value sociological synthesis advanced by Kreutz, on the one hand, and the trends hallmarked by the names of Morris and Hofstede, on the other hand, provided the author with an opportunity to find a resolution of the tension between desired and desirable, for which he has gained some side light from Robert K. Merton's (1957) theory of the different degrees of insulation of role-activities from observability by members of the role-set (and which has derived further refinement from Jean-Paul Sartre's conception of 'glance and shame').