Faisal Ahmad

57190857729

Publications - 8

An exploratory binding study of molnupiravir efficacy against emerging Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variants

Publication Name: Scientific Reports

Publication Date: 2025-12-01

Volume: 15

Issue: 1

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome causing coronavirus 2) caused an epidemic that swept the globe and resulted in large number of casualties. It is still sporadically causing cases and has a long-term impact on the health of once infected individuals. Molnupiravir binds RNA dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp) of SARS-CoV-2 as well as spike protein. In this study, we assessed the mutated spike protein of BA.5 variant and BQ.1.1 subvariant of COVID-19 and tested their binding with it. Multiple sequence and structural alignment of homologous structures revealed highly conserved amino acid residues at the active site of the domain. The molecular docking of Molnupiravir with the active site of the domain, comprised conserved motifs (motif A-G), and exhibited considerable binding affinity against variant and subvariant protein targets. Molnupiravir exhibited stability in its interactions with the Omicron and BQ.1.1 spike proteins, preserving constant engagement within the active site. The protein and Ligand reached An equilibrium with An RMSD of 10.46 Å after 100 nanoseconds, whereas the Ligand measured 8.0 Å. Fluctuations were noted between 40 And 75 nanoseconds, stabilizing from 80 to 100 ns. In simulations including the BQ.1.1 subvariant, the RMSD values demonstrated considerable stability, exhibiting Little variations. The ligand demonstrated flexibility, altering its binding orientation over time, resulting in An average RMSD of 18.72 Å. Herein, investigation of molecular dynamics trajectories elucidated the conformational stability of Molnupiravir, emphasizing its interactions with active residues and the hydrogen bond acceptor and donor environments. The results highlighted the crucial function of protein loops in offering flexibility and enabling ligand binding within the active site. It is concluded that Molnupiravir has the potential to function as an inhibitor of both omicron and its subvariant BQ.1.1.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-19353-4

Analyzing the ORFV virus proteome through rational development of a multiepitope subunit vaccine using the molecular docking and reverse vaccinology approach

Publication Name: Journal of Molecular Liquids

Publication Date: 2026-04-01

Volume: 447

Issue: Unknown

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

ORFV, also known as Ecthyma contagiosum, in humans is the Orf virus (ORFV), which mostly infects various wild and domesticated animals. A highly contagious zoonotic viral infection is a major concern to everyone who works with sheep and goats. According to taxonomy, ORFV belongs to the genus Parapoxvirus. People encounter animals, their exposed skin areas usually develop sores. Even though the quantity of infected individuals and appearances are thought to be less dangerous, the pathogenic virus's high fatality rate is still a serious concern. Vaccine construct There is currently no approved vaccine to lessen the epidemiological and clinical burden of this highly contagious illness. Thus, the target proteins of ORFV are used in our current investigation to design and formulate a multi-epitope vaccination using immunoinformatic approaches. Potential T-cell and B-cell epitopes from the two pathogenic proteins of ORFV were tested using selection criteria. The chosen epitopes were then put together using the appropriate adjuvants and linkers. MHC cluster analysis and population coverage of the chosen epitopes were both satisfactory. To maintain the tertiary or quaternary relationships, we used disulfide bonding engineering. Additionally, normal-mode analysis was used to investigate the vaccine protein stability and kinematics. The immunological simulation research of vaccine complexes also yielded substantial findings. Furthermore, the molecular docking demonstrated a greater affinity of −265.85 kcal/mol for toll-like receptor-4 (TLR4). Molecular dynamics simulations resulted in the stability of the complex system with (mean RMSD: 7.7 Å; Rg: 18.6 Å), exhibiting localized flexibility at certain residues. Calculations of binding free energy (ΔG = −456.67 kcal/mol, GBSA; −469.56 kcal/mol, PBSA) indicated highly favorable and spontaneous interactions facilitated by electrostatic and van der Waals forces. Herein, our research findings revealed that the vaccine designs may modulate encouraging immune responses against the pathophysiology of ORFV. Therefore, it can generate a baseline pipeline for the experimentalist for in vivo and in vitro investigations.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/j.molliq.2026.129309

Discovery of potential antiviral compounds and accelerating the therapeutic discovery against monkeypox virus

Publication Name: Scientific Reports

Publication Date: 2026-12-01

Volume: 16

Issue: 1

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

Monkeypox virus is a zoonotic virus of the genus Orthopox viruses. It can be transmitted through direct or indirect contact with animals or infected ones. Owing similarity of pathogenesis with smallpox, the same drugs can be used for both viruses, but they are not specific and only help to relieve the symptoms only. Therefore, the absence of antiviral treatment or licensed vaccine highlights an urgent need, especially due to its rapid prevalence. The study screened the library of compounds to retrieve drug-like molecules that can act against monkeypox virus. The highly virulent target gene B8R having uniport ID Q3I8J0 was chosen. Targeting B8R is substantial for global health and can align with SDG 3 and awareness of disease management. The B8R was modelled via Artificial intelligence (AI) AlphaFold method and then exposed to a library of compounds. Complementary interactions in the active site were shown by molecular docking. The Complex-1 had the greatest binding affinity (–8.4 kcal/mol), followed by Complex-2 (–8.1 kcal/mol) and Complex-3 (–7.7 kcal/mol). After 125 ns, Complex-1 reached equilibrium at 7.5 Å RMSD, according to MD simulations, exhibiting stable ligand retention and reliable interactions with crucial residues Gly135 and Lys136. Complex-3 shown intermediate protein stability (6 Å RMSD) but notable ligand fluctuation (48 Å RMSF), while Complex-2 displayed increased protein RMSD (8 Å RMSD) and delayed ligand stabilisation (16 Å RMSF). These results were corroborated by PCA analysis, which showed that Complex-1 exhibits coherent structural development whereas Complex-2 and Complex-3 show scattered and compact trajectories, respectively. Complex-1 promise for Mpox viral inhibition was highlighted by the fact that it was the most stable and dynamically favourable contender overall. The N-terminal follows the folding trend. The insilico analysis not only proposed a potent compound but also provides deep insight into the behavior of protein. The proposed potent compound against this zoonotic virus can be helpful to combat the monkeypox virus by subjecting it further towards experimental investigation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-026-39427-1

Global, regional, and national burden of meningitis, its risk factors, and aetiologies, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Usha Adiga Emad M. Abdallah Dariush Abtahi Meriem Abdoun Eman Abu-Gharbieh Anirudh Balakrishna Acharya Mohd Adnan Mitra Abbasifard Victor Adekanmbi Asrat Agalu Abejew Oyelola A. Adegboye Samar Abd Elhafeez Jeza Muhamad Abdul Aziz Muhammad Sohail Afzal Nermeen Abu-Elala Auwal Abdullahi Khurshid Ahmad Rana Kamal Abu Farha Isaac Yeboah Addo Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa Nadin M.I. Abdel Razeq Sherief Abd-Elsalam Swetha Acharya Williams Agyemang-Duah Samir Abu Rumeileh Faisal Ahmad Lucien R. Swetschinski Juliana Bunmi Adetunji Lisa C. Adams Fuad Hamdi A. Abuadas Madineh Abbasi Ali Ahmadi Omar Ahmed Abdelwahab Bright Opoku Ahinkorah Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader Nurudeen A. Adegoke Ayman Ahmed Negar Sadat Ahmadi Rezheen Fatah Abdulrahman Danish Ahmad Meshack Achore Olumide Thomas Adeleke Olifan Zewdie Abil Armita Abedi Dina Abushanab Sawsan Abuhammad Mostafa M. Abdrabou Eve E. Wool David Adedia Kamoru Ademola Adedokun Muayyad M. Ahmad Aqeel Ahmad Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Miracle Ayomikun Adesina Hedayat Abbastabar Tauseef Ahmad Hasan Aalruz Avina Vongpradith Mohammed Altigani Abdalla Temitayo Esther Adeyeoluwa Atman Adiba Chieh Han Sajjad Ahmad Gasha Salih Ahmed Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi Rose Grace Bender Giuseppina Affinito Sepehr Aghajanian Richard Gyan Aboagye Rahim Abo Kasem Mohammad Amin Aalipour Sarah Brooke Sirota Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader Ahmed A.J. Jabbar Ridwan Olamilekan Adesola Arman Abdous Nagah M. Abourashed Zhanar Abu Toufik Abdul-Rahman Prince Owusu Adoma Gizachew Beykaso Agafari Regina Mae Villanueva Dominguez Hana J. Abukhadijah Abdullahi Tunde Aborode Ibrahim Banaru Abubakar Mehrunnisha Sharif Ahmed Sepideh Ahmadi Amir Mahmoud Ahmadzade Daniel T. Araki Hassan Abolhassani Aminu Kende Abubakar Idowu Peter Adewumi Faisal Ahmad Abisola Esther Abdulmalik Syed Hani Abidi Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Amanda Movo Hasan Aalruz Haroon Ahmed Faezeh Abbaspour Krishna Prasad Acharya Suhaib Ahmad Zhanar Abu Abisola Esther Abdulmalik Olumide Abiodun Saira Afzal

Publication Name: Lancet Neurology

Publication Date: 2026-05-01

Volume: 25

Issue: 5

Page Range: 451-468

Description:

Background: Meningitis remains the leading infectious cause of neurological disabilities globally, disproportionately affecting children younger than 5 years and populations in the African meningitis belt. Whereas previous global estimates focused on ten pathogen categories, this study presents the most comprehensive analysis to date, assessing the meningitis burden attributable to 17 causative pathogens based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023 framework. Methods: GBD is a systematic, scientific effort aimed at quantifying the comparative magnitude of health loss caused by diseases, injuries, and risk factors across age groups, sexes, and geographical locations over time. We estimated meningitis mortality using the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) and morbidity using DisMod-MR 2.1, incorporating data from vital registration, verbal autopsy, surveillance, hospital data, and systematic reviews. Aetiology-specific estimates were generated with pathogen-linked case-fatality ratios and splined binomial regression models. Risk factor attribution was based on established risk–outcome pairs and population attributable fractions. Findings: In 2023, there were 259 000 (95% uncertainty interval 202 000–335 000) global deaths and 2·54 million (2·20–2·93) incident cases of meningitis. Children younger than 5 years accounted for more than a third of deaths (86 600 [53 300–149 000]). Streptococcus pneumoniae, Neisseria meningitidis, non-polio enteroviruses, and other viruses were the leading causes of death, while non-polio enteroviruses caused the most cases. The four WHO-defined preventable meningitis pathogens of interest (S pneumoniae, N meningitidis, Haemophilus influenzae, and Group B streptococcus) contributed to 98 700 deaths (77 000–127 000) and 594 000 cases (514 000–686 000). Low birthweight, short gestation, and household air pollution were the top risk factors for meningitis-related mortality. Interpretation: Although mortality and incidence have declined significantly since 1990, progress is insufficient to meet WHO 2030 targets. Despite marked progress in reducing bacterial meningitis via global vaccination campaigns, a substantial meningitis burden persists, attributable both to common pathogens such as S pneumoniae and N meningitidis and to emerging non-bacterial pathogens such as Candida spp and drug-resistant fungi. Achieving WHO goals will require sustained investment in surveillance, vaccination, maternal screening, and health-system strengthening, especially in high-burden settings. Funding: Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and UK Department of Health and Social Care.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S1474-4422(26)00101-8

Global burden of lower respiratory infections and aetiologies, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Usha Adiga Emad M. Abdallah Dariush Abtahi Meriem Abdoun Eman Abu-Gharbieh Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab Anurag Agrawal Anirudh Balakrishna Acharya Mohd Adnan Victor Adekanmbi Asrat Agalu Abejew Samar Abd Elhafeez Jeza Muhamad Abdul Aziz Ripon Kumar Adhikary Nermeen Abu-Elala Auwal Abdullahi Khurshid Ahmad Rana Kamal Abu Farha Isaac Yeboah Addo Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa Nadin M.I. Abdel Razeq Sherief Abd-Elsalam Swetha Acharya Williams Agyemang-Duah Faisal Ahmad Lucien R. Swetschinski Charles Oluwaseun Adetunji Juliana Bunmi Adetunji Lisa C. Adams Usman Abubakar Fuad Hamdi A. Abuadas Ali Ahmadi Ashraf Nabiel Abdalla Bright Opoku Ahinkorah Nurudeen A. Adegoke Deldar Morad Abdulah Jiawei He Austin Carter Danish Ahmad Atef Abdelkader Meshack Achore Olumide Thomas Adeleke Olifan Zewdie Abil Armita Abedi Dina Abushanab Mostafa M. Abdrabou Eve E. Wool David Adedia Kamoru Ademola Adedokun Percival Delali Delali Agordoh Muayyad M. Ahmad Aqeel Ahmad Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Miracle Ayomikun Adesina Hedayat Abbastabar Tauseef Ahmad Ulric Sena Abonie Rabbiya Ahmad Hasan Aalruz Mohammed Altigani Abdalla Atman Adiba Chieh Han Sajjad Ahmad Mache Tsadik Adhana Rose Grace Bender Giuseppina Affinito Richard Gyan Aboagye Mohammad Amin Aalipour Sarah Brooke Sirota Mahnaz Ahmadi Navidha Aggarwal Ahmed A.J. Jabbar Ridwan Olamilekan Adesola Arman Abdous Nagah M. Abourashed Zhanar Abu Toufik Abdul-Rahman Mahsa Ahadi Ousman Adal Gizachew Beykaso Agafari Regina Mae Villanueva Dominguez Hana J. Abukhadijah Abdullahi Tunde Aborode Rabbiya Ahmad Daniel T. Araki Hassan Abolhassani Aminu Kende Abubakar Idowu Peter Adewumi Nermeen Abu-Elala Habtamu Abebe Getahun None Abdullah Faisal Ahmad Syed Hani Abidi Zahra Abbasi Dolatabadi Tajudeen Adesanmi Adebisi Kulmira Abdykerimova Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Amanda Movo Hasan Aalruz Nagah M. Abourashed Zhanar Abu Atman Adiba Atef Abdelkader Krishna Prasad Acharya Adamu Adamu Ahmad Ijaz Ahmad Olumide Abiodun Saira Afzal Ali Ahmed

Publication Name: Lancet Infectious Diseases

Publication Date: 2026-04-01

Volume: 26

Issue: 4

Page Range: 343-361

Description:

Background: Lower respiratory infections (LRIs) remain the world's leading infectious cause of death. This analysis from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023 provides global, regional, and national estimates of LRI incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), with attribution to 26 pathogens, including 11 newly modelled pathogens, across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023. With new data and revised modelling techniques, these estimates serve as an update and expansion to GBD 2021. Through these estimates, we also aimed to assess progress towards the 2025 Global Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Pneumonia and Diarrhoea (GAPPD) target for pneumonia mortality in children younger than 5 years. Methods: Mortality from LRIs, defined as physician-diagnosed pneumonia or bronchiolitis, was estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model with data from vital registration, verbal autopsy, surveillance, and minimally invasive tissue sampling. The Bayesian meta-regression tool DisMod-MR 2.1 was used to model overall morbidity due to LRIs. DALYs were calculated as the sum of years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs) for all locations, years, age groups, and sexes. We modelled pathogen-specific case-fatality ratios (CFRs) for each age group and location using splined binomial regression to create internally consistent estimates of incidence and mortality proportions attributable to viral, fungal, parasitic, and bacterial pathogens. Progress was assessed towards the GAPPD target of less than three deaths from pneumonia per 1000 livebirths, which is roughly equivalent to a mortality rate of less than 60 deaths per 100 000 children younger than 5 years. Findings: In 2023, LRIs were responsible for 2·50 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 2·24–2·81) deaths and 98·7 million (87·7–112) DALYs, with children younger than 5 years and adults aged 70 years and older carrying the highest burden. LRI mortality in children younger than 5 years fell by 33·4% (10·4–47·4) since 2010, with a global mortality rate of 94·8 (75·6–116·4) per 100 000 person-years in 2023. Among adults aged 70 years and older, the burden remained substantial with only marginal declines since 2010. A mortality rate of less than 60 deaths per 100 000 for children younger than 5 years was met by 129 of the 204 modelled countries in 2023. At a super-regional level, sub-Saharan Africa had an aggregate mortality rate in children younger than 5 years (hereafter referred to as under-5 mortality rate) furthest from the GAPPD target. Streptococcus pneumoniae continued to account for the largest number of LRI deaths globally (634 000 [95% UI 565 000–721 000] deaths or 25·3% [24·5–26·1] of all LRI deaths), followed by Staphylococcus aureus (271 000 [243 000–298 000] deaths or 10·9% [10·3–11·3]), and Klebsiella pneumoniae (228 000 [204 000–261 000] deaths or 9·1% [8·8–9·5]). Among pathogens newly modelled in this study, non-tuberculous mycobacteria (responsible for 177 000 [95% UI 155 000–201 000] deaths) and Aspergillus spp (responsible for 67 800 [59 900–75 900] deaths) emerged as important contributors. Altogether, the 11 newly modelled pathogens accounted for approximately 22% of LRI deaths. Interpretation: This comprehensive analysis underscores both the gains achieved through vaccination and the challenges that remain in controlling the LRI burden globally. Furthermore, it demonstrates persistent disparities in disease burden, with the highest mortality rates concentrated in countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Globally, as well as in these high-burden locations, the under-5 LRI mortality rate remains well above the GAPPD target. Progress towards this target requires equitable access to vaccines and preventive therapies—including newer interventions such as respiratory syncytial virus monoclonal antibodies—and health systems capable of early diagnosis and treatment. Expanding surveillance of emerging pathogens, strengthening adult immunisation programmes, and combating vaccine hesitancy are also crucial. As the global population ages, the dual challenge of sustaining gains in child survival while addressing the rising vulnerability in older adults will shape future pneumonia control strategies. Funding: Gates Foundation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(25)00689-9

Global age-sex-specific all-cause mortality and life expectancy estimates for 204 countries and territories and 660 subnational locations, 1950–2023: a demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Rana Kamal Abu Farha Cristiana Abbafati Faezeh Abbaspour Abdallah H.A. Abd Al Magied Mohammed Altigani Abdalla Nadin M.I. Abdel Razeq Arash Abdollahi Wael M. Abdel-Rahman Aminu Kende Abubakar Ahmed Abu-Zaid Reda Abdel-Hameed Kamoru Ademola Adedokun Nurudeen A. Adegoke Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi Giuseppina Affinito Isaac Ayodeji Adesina Habtamu Abebe Getahun Eman Abu-Gharbieh Lisa C. Adams Armita Abedi Peng Zheng Usha Adiga Faisal Ahmad Mitra Abbasifard Austin E. Schumacher A. Bhoomadevi Mohammad Amin Aalipour Faisal Ahmad Hazim S. Ababneh Ukachukwu O. Abaraogu Faezeh Abbaspour Ryan M. Barber Omar Ahmed Abdelwahab Ripon Kumar Adhikary Abdullahi Salahudeen Abdulraheem Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader Dariush Abtahi Mohd Adnan Tanin Adl Parvar Mahdi Aghaalikhani Rabbiya Ahmad Feleke Doyore Agide Alemwork Abie Hana J. Abukhadijah Danish Ahmad Nasir Abbas Tanin Adl Parvar Rotimi Felix Afolabi Habtamu Abebe Getahun Rana Kamal Abu Farha Ahmed Abu Zaid César Agostinis Sobrinho Saira Afzal Gizachew Beykaso Agafari Emad M. Abdallah Samar Abd Elhafeez Navidha Aggarwal Mahdi Aghaalikhani Tim Adair César Agostinis Sobrinho Sepehr Aghajanian Rabbiya Ahmad Seyed Mohammad Kazem Aghamir Mary Dada Agoi Meriem Abdoun Salahdein Aburuz Anurag Agrawal Lucas Guimarães Abreu Bright Opoku Ahinkorah Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Sherief Abd-Elsalam Samar Abd ElHafeez Deldar Morad Abdulah Asrat Agalu Abejew Fuad Hamdi A. Abuadas Parisa Abedi Olugbenga Olusola Abiodun Olatunji O. Adetokunboh Shady Abohashem Mohamed Abouzid Roberto Ariel Abeldaño Zuñiga Anirudh Balakrishna Acharya Juan Manuel Acuna Meshack Achore Arman Abdous Hasan Aalruz Auwal Abdullahi Bilyaminu Abubakar Sawsan Abuhammad David Adedia Syed Hani Abidi Olumide Abiodun Richard Gyan Aboagye Ulric Sena Abonie Parsa Abdi Oladimeji Muritala Adebayo Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa Dina Abushanab Tajudeen Adesanmi Adebisi Oluwatobi E. Adegbile Olumide Thomas Adeleke Miracle Ayomikun Adesina Leticia Akua Adzigbli Mache Tsadik Adhana David Adzrago Temitayo Esther Adeyeoluwa Nasir Abbas Kishor Adhikari Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader Williams Agyemang-Duah Nagah M. Abourashed Dmitry Abramov

Publication Name: Lancet

Publication Date: 2025-10-18

Volume: 406

Issue: 10513

Page Range: 1731-1810

Description:

Comprehensive, comparable, and timely estimates of demographic metrics—including life expectancy and age-specific mortality—are essential for evaluating, understanding, and addressing trends in population health. The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the importance of timely and all-cause mortality estimates for being able to respond to changing trends in health outcomes, showing a strong need for demographic analysis tools that can produce all-cause mortality estimates more rapidly with more readily available all-age vital registration (VR) data. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) is an ongoing research effort that quantifies human health by estimating a range of epidemiological quantities of interest across time, age, sex, location, cause, and risk. This study—part of the latest GBD release, GBD 2023—aims to provide new and updated estimates of all-cause mortality and life expectancy for 1950 to 2023 using a novel statistical model that accounts for complex correlation structures in demographic data across age and time. We used 24 025 data sources from VR, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources to estimate all-cause mortality for males, females, and all sexes combined across 25 age groups in 204 countries and territories as well as 660 subnational units in 20 countries and territories, for the years 1950–2023. For the first time, we used complete birth history data for ages 5–14 years, age-specific sibling history data for ages 15–49 years, and age-specific mortality data from Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems. We developed a single statistical model that incorporates both parametric and non-parametric methods, referred to as OneMod, to produce estimates of all-cause mortality for each age-sex-location group. OneMod includes two main steps: a detailed regression analysis with a generalised linear modelling tool that accounts for age-specific covariate effects such as the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and a population attributable fraction (PAF) for all risk factors combined; and a non-parametric analysis of residuals using a multivariate kernel regression model that smooths across age and time to adaptably follow trends in the data without overfitting. We calibrated asymptotic uncertainty estimates using Pearson residuals to produce 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) and corresponding 1000 draws. Life expectancy was calculated from age-specific mortality rates with standard demographic methods. For each measure, 95% UIs were calculated with the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution. In 2023, 60·1 million (95% UI 59·0–61·1) deaths occurred globally, of which 4·67 million (4·59–4·75) were in children younger than 5 years. Due to considerable population growth and ageing since 1950, the number of annual deaths globally increased by 35·2% (32·2–38·4) over the 1950–2023 study period, during which the global age-standardised all-cause mortality rate declined by 66·6% (65·8–67·3). Trends in age-specific mortality rates between 2011 and 2023 varied by age group and location, with the largest decline in under-5 mortality occurring in east Asia (67·7% decrease); the largest increases in mortality for those aged 5–14 years, 25–29 years, and 30–39 years occurring in high-income North America (11·5%, 31·7%, and 49·9%, respectively); and the largest increases in mortality for those aged 15–19 years and 20–24 years occurring in Eastern Europe (53·9% and 40·1%, respectively). We also identified higher than previously estimated mortality rates in sub-Saharan Africa for all sexes combined aged 5–14 years (87·3% higher in GBD 2023 than GBD 2021 on average across countries and territories over the 1950–2021 period) and for females aged 15–29 years (61·2% higher), as well as lower than previously estimated mortality rates in sub-Saharan Africa for all sexes combined aged 50 years and older (13·2% lower), reflecting advances in our modelling approach. Global life expectancy followed three distinct trends over the study period. First, between 1950 and 2019, there were considerable improvements, from 51·2 (50·6–51·7) years for females and 47·9 (47·4–48·4) years for males in 1950 to 76·3 (76·2–76·4) years for females and 71·4 (71·3–71·5) years for males in 2019. Second, this period was followed by a decrease in life expectancy during the COVID-19 pandemic, to 74·7 (74·6–74·8) years for females and 69·3 (69·2–69·4) years for males in 2021. Finally, the world experienced a period of post-pandemic recovery in 2022 and 2023, wherein life expectancy generally returned to pre-pandemic (2019) levels in 2023 (76·3 [76·0–76·6] years for females and 71·5 [71·2–71·8] years for males). 194 (95·1%) of 204 countries and territories experienced at least partial post-pandemic recovery in age-standardised mortality rates by 2023, with 61·8% (126 of 204) recovering to or falling below pre-pandemic levels. There were several mortality trajectories during and following the pandemic across countries and territories. Long-term mortality trends also varied considerably between age groups and locations, demonstrating the diverse landscape of health outcomes globally. This analysis identified several key differences in mortality trends from previous estimates, including higher rates of adolescent mortality, higher rates of young adult mortality in females, and lower rates of mortality in older age groups in much of sub-Saharan Africa. The findings also highlight stark differences across countries and territories in the timing and scale of changes in all-cause mortality trends during and following the COVID-19 pandemic (2020–23). Our estimates of evolving trends in mortality and life expectancy across locations, ages, sexes, and SDI levels in recent years as well as over the entire 1950–2023 study period provide crucial information for governments, policy makers, and the public to ensure that health-care systems, economies, and societies are prepared to address the world's health needs, particularly in populations with higher rates of mortality than previously known. The estimates from this study provide a robust framework for GBD and a valuable foundation for policy development, implementation, and evaluation around the world. Gates Foundation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)01330-3

The global, regional, and national burden of cancer, 1990–2023, with forecasts to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Amani Alansari Ibukun Modupe Adesiyan Abdallah H.A. Abd Al Magied Mohammed Altigani Abdalla Arash Abdollahi Wael M. Abdel-Rahman Aminu Kende Abubakar Ahmed Abu-Zaid Kamoru Ademola Adedokun Nurudeen A. Adegoke Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi Mohadese Ahmadzade Anisuddin Ahmed Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal Dolapo Emmanuel Ajala Ashraf Nabiel Abdalla Raghu Ram Achar Eman Abu-Gharbieh Lisa C. Adams Muayyad M. Ahmad Maryam Abbasalipour bashash Mesfin Abebe Armita Abedi Sajjad Ahmad Syed Anees Ahmed Usha Adiga Faisal Ahmad Sajjad Ahmad A. Bhoomadevi Faisal Ahmad Aqeel Ahmad Hasan Aalruz Lisa M. Force Kayleigh Bhangdia Jonathan M. Kocarnik Miranda L. May Feleke Doyore Agide Andrew Crist Roland Eghoghosoa Akhigbe Karolina Akinosoglou Omar Al Omari Alemwork Abie Hana J. Abukhadijah Muhammad Sohail Afzal Danish Ahmad Amir Mahmoud Ahmadzade Salah Al Awaidy Nasir Abbas Maryam Abbasalipour bashash Hanadi Al Hamad Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan Samar Abd Elhafeez Navidha Aggarwal Gasha Salih Ahmed Mehrunnisha Sharif Ahmed Meqdad Saleh Ahmed Muktar Beshir Ahmed Nesredin Ahmed Marjan Ajami Mohammad Al Qadire Syed Anees Ahmed Suneth Buddhika Agampodi Khurshid Ahmad César Agostinis Sobrinho Tauseef Ahmad Elham Ahmadi Ayman Ahmed Meriem Abdoun Salahdein Aburuz Yazan Al Thaher Zufishan Alam Lucas Guimarães Abreu Lawan Hassan Adamu Bhoomadevi A Louise Penberthy Natalie Pritchett Alistair Acheson Lee Deitesfeld Ahmed M. Afifi Bright Opoku Ahinkorah Fatemeh Afrashteh Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Juan Manuel Acuna Arman Abdous Hasan Aalruz Auwal Abdullahi Bilyaminu Abubakar Isaac Yeboah Addo Syed Hani Abidi Hassan Abolhassani Olumide Abiodun Richard Gyan Aboagye Ulric Sena Abonie Habeeb Omoponle Adewuyi Parsa Abdi Wakgari Mosisa Abdisa Luai A. Ahmed Victor Adekanmbi Ibrar Ahmed Daba Abdissa Arya Afrooghe Omar Ali Mohammed Al Zaabi Khurshid Alam Leticia Akua Adzigbli Nasir Abbas Prince Owusu Adoma Khurshid Ahmad Williams Agyemang-Duah

Publication Name: Lancet

Publication Date: 2025-10-11

Volume: 406

Issue: 10512

Page Range: 1565-1586

Description:

Background: Cancer is a leading cause of death globally. Accurate cancer burden information is crucial for policy planning, but many countries do not have up-to-date cancer surveillance data. To inform global cancer-control efforts, we used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023 framework to generate and analyse estimates of cancer burden for 47 cancer types or groupings by age, sex, and 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023, cancer burden attributable to selected risk factors from 1990 to 2023, and forecasted cancer burden up to 2050. Methods: Cancer estimation in GBD 2023 used data from population-based cancer registration systems, vital registration systems, and verbal autopsies. Cancer mortality was estimated using ensemble models, with incidence informed by mortality estimates and mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs). Prevalence estimates were generated from modelled survival estimates, then multiplied by disability weights to estimate years lived with disability (YLDs). Years of life lost (YLLs) were estimated by multiplying age-specific cancer deaths by the GBD standard life expectancy at the age of death. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were calculated as the sum of YLLs and YLDs. We used the GBD 2023 comparative risk assessment framework to estimate cancer burden attributable to 44 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risk factors. To forecast cancer burden from 2024 to 2050, we used the GBD 2023 forecasting framework, which included forecasts of relevant risk factor exposures and used Socio-demographic Index as a covariate for forecasting the proportion of each cancer not affected by these risk factors. Progress towards the UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) target 3.4 aim to reduce non-communicable disease mortality by a third between 2015 and 2030 was estimated for cancer. Findings: In 2023, excluding non-melanoma skin cancers, there were 18·5 million (95% uncertainty interval 16·4 to 20·7) incident cases of cancer and 10·4 million (9·65 to 10·9) deaths, contributing to 271 million (255 to 285) DALYs globally. Of these, 57·9% (56·1 to 59·8) of incident cases and 65·8% (64·3 to 67·6) of cancer deaths occurred in low-income to upper-middle-income countries based on World Bank income group classifications. Cancer was the second leading cause of deaths globally in 2023 after cardiovascular diseases. There were 4·33 million (3·85 to 4·78) risk-attributable cancer deaths globally in 2023, comprising 41·7% (37·8 to 45·4) of all cancer deaths. Risk-attributable cancer deaths increased by 72·3% (57·1 to 86·8) from 1990 to 2023, whereas overall global cancer deaths increased by 74·3% (62·2 to 86·2) over the same period. The reference forecasts (the most likely future) estimate that in 2050 there will be 30·5 million (22·9 to 38·9) cases and 18·6 million (15·6 to 21·5) deaths from cancer globally, 60·7% (41·9 to 80·6) and 74·5% (50·1 to 104·2) increases from 2024, respectively. These forecasted increases in deaths are greater in low-income and middle-income countries (90·6% [61·0 to 127·0]) compared with high-income countries (42·8% [28·3 to 58·6]). Most of these increases are likely due to demographic changes, as age-standardised death rates are forecast to change by –5·6% (–12·8 to 4·6) between 2024 and 2050 globally. Between 2015 and 2030, the probability of dying due to cancer between the ages of 30 years and 70 years was forecasted to have a relative decrease of 6·5% (3·2 to 10·3). Interpretation: Cancer is a major contributor to global disease burden, with increasing numbers of cases and deaths forecasted up to 2050 and a disproportionate growth in burden in countries with scarce resources. The decline in age-standardised mortality rates from cancer is encouraging but insufficient to meet the SDG target set for 2030. Effectively and sustainably addressing cancer burden globally will require comprehensive national and international efforts that consider health systems and context in the development and implementation of cancer-control strategies across the continuum of prevention, diagnosis, and treatment. Funding: Gates Foundation, St Jude Children's Research Hospital, and St Baldrick's Foundation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)01635-6

CRISPR/Cas system as a novel therapeutic strategy to combat multi-drug-resistant bacteria

Publication Name: Archives of Microbiology

Publication Date: 2026-11-01

Volume: 208

Issue: 11

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has diminished the effectiveness of present antibiotics, posing a huge threat to global community health and economic stability. This study investigates the CRISPR-Cas framework’s potential as a cutting-edge tactic to fight antimicrobial resistance. Current applications, limitations, and prospective future uses are analyzed. CRISPR antimicrobial strategies, which bring together the latest developments in gene-targeting strategies, engineered delivery platforms, and translational applications to fight multidrug-resistant pathogens. CRISPR technology is different from traditional antimicrobial treatments that target general antimicrobial resistance genes, instead allowing targets to be eliminated specifically by sequence, while retaining beneficial microbial communities, which has the potential to be a transformative precision antimicrobial treatment. Nevertheless, there is still a need for optimization of delivery systems, specificity of targets, biosafety, and regulations to ensure successful clinical translation, especially given their amazing advances. Recent research confirms that CRISPR-based mechanisms also affect different bacterial species, including Enterococcus faecium, Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Acinetobacter baumannii, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Enterobacter species, playing a key function in averting the emergence of resistance genes in these bacteria. Changes to CRISPR loci affect how resistance genes are targeted in ESKAPE pathogens, and CRISPR-Cas9 successfully lowers resistance by focusing on genes like tetM and ermB. A promising application of CRISPR-Cas systems in combating antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is the precise targeting of plasmid-borne mcr-1 resistance genes and other mobile genetic elements that facilitate the dissemination of colistin resistance. But the efficiency of CRISPR-Cas is diminished in some bacterial strains due to variations in their CRISPR loci. Enhancing transformation approaches and minimizing off-target impacts are critical challenges to confirm the precision and safety of CRISPR-based mechanisms in therapeutic applications. Advances in these areas are likely to continue to enable the development of next-generation CRISPR therapeutics for the effective management of multidrug-resistant bacterial infections.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1007/s00203-026-05118-8