Predicting road surface normal and pitch with image-based algorithms remains a significant challenge, especially when steep inclines, declines, and sudden changes in road inclination are involved. To solve this problem, we propose a novel image-based algorithm that leverages homography decomposition to achieve accurate ground plane normal and pitch prediction. By integrating a Kalman Filter, our method enhances prediction stability. Further, we incorporate robust sensor fusion by integrating IMU-based odometry, ensuring that the estimates are accurately aligned with real-world motion. Overall, our approach outperforms existing techniques in both accuracy and responsiveness for dynamic driving environments. Experimental results show that our approach achieves superior performance, reducing average pitch and normal errors by 0.493^∘ and 0.483^∘, respectively, compared to the current state-of-the-art, and exhibits a shorter transient response in case of a sudden road inclination change. Code is available at: https://norbertmarko.github.io/ground-normal-prediction/.

Advanced driver-assistance and autonomous systems require perception that is both robust and affordable. Monocular cameras are promising due to their ubiquity and low cost, yet detecting abrupt road surface irregularities such as curbs and bumps remains challenging. These sudden road gradient changes are often only a few centimeters high, making them difficult to detect and resolve from a single moving camera. We hypothesize that stable image-based homography, derived from robust geometric correspondences, is a viable method for predicting sudden road surface gradient changes. To this end, we propose a monocular, geometry-driven pipeline that combines transformer-based feature matching, homography decomposition, temporal filtering, and late-stage IMU fusion. In addition, we introduce a dedicated dataset with synchronized camera and ground-truth measurements for reproducible evaluation under diverse urban conditions. We conduct a targeted feasibility study on six scenarios specifically recorded for small, safety-relevant discontinuities (four curb approaches, two speed bumps). Homography-based cues provide reliable early signatures for curbs (3/4 curb sequences detected at a 5 cm threshold). These results establish feasibility for monocular, geometric curb detection and motivate larger-scale validation. The code and the collected data will be made publicly available.