Meijie Yao
58913072300
Publications - 1
Regulatory governance and AI innovation quality: A cross-country evaluation of technology, institutions, and ESG outcomes
Publication Name: Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Publication Date: 2026-09-01
Volume: 230
Issue: Unknown
Page Range: Unknown
Description:
This study examines how AI innovation quality shapes national ESG performance, including its governance dimensions, across 82 countries from 2000 to 2023. AI quality is measured as citation intensity per capita, reflecting scientific influence and technological sophistication validated in prior macro studies rather than patent volume, as citations better capture deployable impact for policy applications like regulatory compliance monitoring and transparent decision systems. Building on resource-resilient world theory, we assess direct AI effects and conditional interactions with financial institutions, globalization exposure, human capital, corruption, economic complexity, and clean-energy transitions using robust multi-model econometrics including IV-GMM to address endogeneity. The findings reveal advanced AI innovation quality significantly improves composite ESG performance, with stronger effects in developed economies where institutional capacity amplifies technological capabilities. AI citation intensity translates scientific breakthroughs into practical governance tools, enhancing regulatory transparency (G pillar), emissions tracking (E pillar), and social compliance (S pillar), though developing nations face implementation barriers. The findings imply that high-quality AI innovation serves as a critical technological shock absorber, enabling nations to enhance regulatory transparency and manage resources more resiliently against external shocks. However, the divergence between developed and developing nations suggests that technological sophistication must be paired with institutional reforms and human capital development to avoid value destruction. Ultimately, strategically governing AI innovation quality is essential for aligning global technological trajectories with long-term ESG performance and sustainable development goals.
Open Access: Yes