Yungen He
59896003300
Publications - 2
A Fuzzy Bayesian-Based Integrated Framework for Risk Analysis of a Dual-Cycle Liquefied Natural Gas Cold Energy Power Generation System
Publication Name: Energies
Publication Date: 2026-02-01
Volume: 19
Issue: 3
Page Range: Unknown
Description:
LNG serves as a pivotal element within integrated energy systems, especially in coastal regions where the implementation of a stable and reliable LNG cold energy power generation system significantly elevates energy efficiency. This system can effectively meet concurrent demands for cold energy utilization and electricity supply while contributing to the mitigation of carbon emissions. However, the inherent complexity of the system coupled with the scarcity of historical operational data for the novel dual-Rankine cycle process renders conventional reliability assessment methodologies inadequate. This study proposes an integrated framework utilizing fuzzy Bayesian methods to address data scarcity during the early stages of equipment deployment. A hierarchical risk factor model, incorporating process decomposition, expert evaluations, and triangular fuzzy numbers, is developed to quantify uncertainties in failure probabilities. The Bayesian network models the causal relationships among equipment failure factors, allowing for the inference of overall system reliability from individual equipment performance. Through a case study of a LNG terminal in Zhoushan, this approach integrates sensitivity analysis with forward-backward reasoning methodologies to rigorously evaluate and quantify system reliability under operational conditions. The results show that under high load conditions within the 1000 h prior to overhaul, following long-term accumulated operation, the probability of complete system shutdown in the power generation system is 3.30%, while the probability of the LNG cold energy power generation system failing to operate fully due to aging-related faults is 8.24%, demonstrating the system’s strong reliability under extreme conditions. Critical risks identified through backward inference include the seawater pump SWP1, with a posterior failure probability of 59.92% during complete shutdown, and the propane-side pump SWP3, with a posterior failure probability of 32.29% when the cold energy power generation system can only operate in a single-cycle mode. This study provides an advanced methodological framework for risk management in newly constructed LNG cold energy power generation systems, playing a crucial role in promoting sustainable, low-carbon technologies in the energy sector.
Open Access: Yes
DOI: 10.3390/en19030688
Power generation and utilization in deep-sea offshore wind integrated energy systems: A review
Publication Name: Energy Conversion and Management X
Publication Date: 2026-09-01
Volume: 31
Issue: Unknown
Page Range: Unknown
Description:
As offshore wind power migrates into deep, remote waters, the traditional single-source electricity-export model faces severe techno-economic fragility, primarily driven by prohibitive offshore transmission costs and finite onshore grid absorption capacity. To overcome these barriers, this structured review examines the transition from standalone wind farms to multifunctional integrated energy systems through a holistic resource-grid-load integration framework, within which generic objectives, balance relationships, operational constraints, and validation approaches are summarized as a standardized modeling reference. On the supply side, the analysis evaluates the spatiotemporal synergy of coupling wind with floating photovoltaics, wave energy converters, marine biomass, and ocean thermal energy, demonstrating how multi-energy complementarity dampens output fluctuations and enhances structural stability. On the demand side, the study critically explores diversified in situ utilization pathways, specifically low-trophic marine ranching, seawater electrolysis for green hydrogen and ammonia (Power-to-X), and the electrification of legacy oil and gas platforms. These demand-side load reconfigurations transform surplus electricity into storable chemical carriers, effectively relieving pressure on long-distance transmission corridors. Furthermore, this review addresses the strict geographic and economic boundary conditions of these pathways, indicating that preferred export and utilization pathways depend on distance, water depth, project scale, metocean conditions, market readiness, and cost assumptions. Finally, by assessing the technology readiness levels and intrinsic limitations of current configurations, this study proposes a three-stage research roadmap, providing the theoretical and methodological grounding necessary for future autonomous deep-sea multi-carrier energy hubs.
Open Access: Yes