Adrian Nagy
57202440742
Publications - 1
Assessment of Advanced Machine and Deep Learning Approaches for Predicting CO2 Emissions from Agricultural Lands: Insights Across Diverse Agroclimatic Zones
Publication Name: Earth Systems and Environment
Publication Date: 2024-12-01
Volume: 8
Issue: 4
Page Range: 1109-1125
Description:
Prediction of carbon dioxide (CO2 ) emissions from agricultural soil is vital for efficient and strategic mitigating practices and achieving climate smart agriculture. This study aimed to evaluate the ability of two machine learning algorithms [gradient boosting regression (GBR), support vector regression (SVR)], and two deep learning algorithms [feedforward neural network (FNN) and convolutional neural network (CNN)] in predicting CO2 emissions from Maize fields in two agroclimatic regions i.e., continental (Debrecen-Hungary), and semi-arid (Karaj-Iran). This research developed three scenarios for predicting CO2 . Each scenario is developed by a combination between input variables [i.e., soil temperature (Δ), soil moisture (θ), date of measurement (SD), soil management (SM)] [i.e., SC1: (SM + Δ + θ), SC2: (SM + Δ), SC3: (SM + θ)]. Results showed that the average CO2 emission from Debrecen was 138.78 ± 72.04 ppm (n = 36), while the average from Karaj was 478.98 ± 174.22 ppm (n = 36). Performance evaluation results of train set revealed that high prediction accuracy is achieved by GBR in SC1 with the highest R2 = 0.8778, and lowest root mean squared error (RMSE) = 72.05, followed by GBR in SC3. Overall, the performance MDLM is ranked as GBR > FNN > CNN > SVR. In testing phase, the highest prediction accuracy was achieved by FNN in SC1 with R2 = 0.918, and RMSE = 67.75, followed by FNN in SC3, and GBR in SC1 (R2 = 0.887, RMSE = 79.881). The performance of MDLM ranked as FNN > GRB > CNN > SVR. The findings of the research provide insights into agricultural management strategies, enabling stakeholders to work towards a more sustainable and climate-resilient future in agriculture.
Open Access: Yes