Raj Kumar

57204851425

Publications - 5

Comparative analysis of daily global solar radiation prediction using deep learning models inputted with stochastic variables

Publication Name: Scientific Reports

Publication Date: 2025-12-01

Volume: 15

Issue: 1

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

Photovoltaic power plant outputs depend on the daily global solar radiation (DGSR). The main issue with DGSR data is its lack of precision. The potential unavailability of DGSR data for several sites can be attributed to the high cost of measuring instruments and the intermittent nature of time series data due to equipment malfunctions. Therefore, DGSR prediction research is crucial nowadays to produce photovoltaic power. Different artificial neural network (ANN) models will give different DGSR predictions with varying levels of accuracy, so it is essential to compare the different ANN model inputs with various sets of meteorological stochastic variables. In this study, radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), long short-term memory neural network (LSTMNN), modular neural network (MNN), and transformer model (TM) are developed to investigate the performances of these algorithms for the DGSR prediction using different combinations of meteorological stochastic variables. These models employ five stochastic variables: wind speed, relative humidity, minimum, maximum, and average temperatures. The mean absolute relative error for the transformer model with input variables as average, maximum, and minimum temperatures is 1.98. ANN models outperform traditional models in predictive accuracy.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-95281-7

Performance analysis and modelling of circular jets aeration in an open channel using soft computing techniques

Publication Name: Scientific Reports

Publication Date: 2024-12-01

Volume: 14

Issue: 1

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

Dissolved oxygen (DO) is an important parameter in assessing water quality. The reduction in DO concentration is the result of eutrophication, which degrades the quality of water. Aeration is the best way to enhance the DO concentration. In the current study, the aeration efficiency (E20) of various numbers of circular jets in an open channel was experimentally investigated for different channel angle of inclination (θ), discharge (Q), number of jets (Jn), Froude number (Fr), and hydraulic radius of each jet (HRJn). The statistical results show that jets from 8 to 64 significantly provide aeration in the open channel. The aeration efficiency and input parameters are modelled into a linear relationship. Additionally, utilizing WEKA software, three soft computing models for predicting aeration efficiency were created with Artificial Neural Network (ANN), M5P, and Random Forest (RF). Performance evaluation results and box plot have shown that ANN is the outperforming model with correlation coefficient (CC) = 0.9823, mean absolute error (MAE) = 0.0098, and root mean square error (RMSE) = 0.0123 during the testing stage. In order to assess the influence of different input factors on the E20 of jets, a sensitivity analysis was conducted using the most effective model, i.e., ANN. The sensitivity analysis results indicate that the angle of inclination is the most influential input variable in predicting E20, followed by discharge and the number of jets.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-53407-3

Silt erosion and cavitation impact on hydraulic turbines performance: An in-depth analysis and preventative strategies

Publication Name: Heliyon

Publication Date: 2024-04-30

Volume: 10

Issue: 8

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

The primary issues in the Himalayan Rivers are sediment and cavitation degradation of the hydroelectric power turbine components. During the monsoon season, heavy material is transported by streams in hilly areas like the Himalayas through regular rainfalls, glacial and sub-glacial hydrological activity, and other factors. The severe erosion of hydraulic turbines caused by silt abrasion in these areas requires hydropower facilities to be regularly shut down for maintenance, affecting the plant's overall efficiency. This article provides an in-depth examination of the challenges that can lead to cavitation, silt erosion, and a decrease in the efficiency of various hydroelectric turbines, and it demands attention on the design, manufacture, operation, and maintenance of the turbines. This study's main objective is to critically evaluate earlier theoretical, experimental, and numerical evaluation-based studies (on cavitation and silt erosion) that are provided and addressed throughout the study. As a part of this study, various strategies for mitigating the effects of these problems and elongating the time that turbine may be utilized before they must be replaced have been provided.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e28998

Waste-Derived Composite Selection for Sustainable Automotive Brake Friction Materials Using Novel MEREC-RAM Decision Framework

Publication Name: Lubricants

Publication Date: 2025-12-01

Volume: 13

Issue: 12

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

This study aims to identify the most suitable slag waste-filled polymer composite for automotive braking applications. It employs a hybrid multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) model that integrates the “method based on the removal effects of criteria” (MEREC) and the “root assessment method” (RAM) method. Eight slag waste-filled polymer composites, evaluated using seven performance-defining criteria, were considered in the MCDM analysis. The performance evaluation criteria included the friction coefficient, wear, friction fluctuations, friction stability, fade-recovery aspects, and rise in disk temperature. The criteria were weighted through the MEREC approach, which identified fade% (0.2890) and wear (0.2829) as the most important attributes in the assessment. The RAM was employed to rank the alternatives and suggested that the composite alternative with 60 wt.% slag waste and 5 wt.% coir fiber proved to be the best composition for automotive braking applications. The results were validated using nine MCDM models and Spearman correlation coefficients, which showed that the ranking of alternatives was consistent and stable even when the normalization steps of MEREC were swapped. Statistical validation demonstrated a strong predictive accuracy (p < 0.05) with a strong correlation coefficient (>0.8) alongside a minimal mean absolute error. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis was performed by examining several weight situations to determine whether the priority weights influenced the ranking of the composite alternatives. The findings from both the correlation and sensitivity analyses confirm the proposed hybrid MEREC-RAM model’s consistency and effectiveness.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.3390/lubricants13120533

Entropy-centroidous driven decision framework for optimal selection of oxide nanoparticles in solar still systems

Publication Name: Thermal Science and Engineering Progress

Publication Date: 2026-06-01

Volume: 74

Issue: Unknown

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

The growing global demand for safe and sustainable freshwater production has fueled interest in solar distillation systems. Although solar stills offer environmentally friendly desalination solutions, their low productivity remains a major problem. The incorporation of nanofluids based on oxide nanoparticles has emerged as a promising approach to enhance the thermophysical performance and freshwater yield of solar stills. However, selecting the most suitable nanoparticle is challenging due to conflicting thermophysical, environmental, and economic criteria. To address this decision-making complexity, this study proposes a novel hybrid multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) framework that integrates entropy and centroidous objective weighting methods with the “Multi-Attributive Ideal-Real Comparative Analysis” (MAIRCA) ranking technique. Twelve widely reported oxide nanoparticles (SiO2, Fe3O4, MgO, ZnO, CuO, Al2O3, GO, TiO2, Co3O4, CeO2, SnO2 and ZrO2) were evaluated against eight criteria: density, thermal conductivity enhancement, specific heat capacity, thermal expansion coefficient, cost, toxicity, stability, and compatibility with the container material. Entropy-centroidous weighting identified thermal conductivity (0.2962) and cost (0.1969) as the most influential criteria, while MAIRCA ranked GO first with a score of 0.0357, followed by Al2O3 (0.0363) and SiO2 (0.0411); ZnO ranked last with a score of 0.0582. Comparative validation across eleven established MCDM methods showed strong agreement, with Spearman correlation coefficients above 0.748, p-values below 0.05, while mean absolute error values not exceeding 1.83. Sensitivity analysis further confirmed that GO remained at the top position in almost all scenarios, except when the importance of thermal conductivity started to decrease compared to its actual weight, resulting in its replacement by Al2O3. The proposed framework provides a systematic and transparent decision-support tool for nanoparticle pre-screening in solar still applications. The entropy-centroidous-MAIRCA framework can be extended to a wide range of problems related to renewable energy and thermal management optimization.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/j.tsep.2026.104728