Global, regional, and national burden of chronic kidney disease in adults, 1990–2023, and its attributable risk factors: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Mohamad Amin Bakhshali Shoshana H. Ballew Ovidiu Constantin Baltatu Maciej Banach Mainak Bardhan Ahmed Abdelrahman Abdelgalil Saurav Basu Bekalu Mekonen Belay Makda Abate Belew Aminu K. Bello Luis Belo Amiel Nazer C. Bermudez Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal Nurudeen A. Adegoke Nelson Alvis-Guzman Yaser Mohammed Al-Worafi Adel Sharaf Al-Zubairi Masoud Aman Mohammadi Hubert Amu Filippos Anagnostakis Abhishek Anil Sajjad Ahmad Neeraj Bedi Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor Geminn Louis Carace Apostol Walter Appati Sulaimon O. Araromi Hiba Jawdat Barqawi Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader Amir Mahmoud Ahmadzade Salah Al Awaidy Syed Shujait Ali Omar Almidani Hanadi Al Hamad Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan Karem H. Alzoubi Maha Moh'd Wahbi Atout Samar Abd ElHafeez Sajjad Ahmad Nesredin Ahmed Marjan Ajami Ayman Ahmed Yazan Al Thaher Salahdein Aburuz Ashagre Molla Assaye Khursheed Aurangzeb Adedapo Wasiu Awotidebe Domenico Azzolino Muhammad Badar Lucas Guimarães Abreu Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Bright Opoku Ahinkorah Dmitry Abramov Bilyaminu Abubakar Olugbenga Olusola Abiodun Oyelola A. Adegboye Isaac Yeboah Addo Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Hasan Aalruz Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani M. D.Abu Bashar Shahid Bashir Mohammad Mahdi Bastan Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula Sonu Bhaskar Ajay Nagesh Bhat Temitayo Esther Adeyeoluwa Johan Ärnlöv Bernard Kwadwo Yeboah Asiamah-Asare Syed Anees Ahmed Patrick B. Mark Lauryn K. Stafford Morgan E. Grams Hansani Madushika Abeywickrama Mohammed Mehdi Abrar Khabir Ahmad Hasan Aalruz Ali Ahmadi Aram Mahmood Ahmed Shahzaib Ahmed Priyadarshini Bhattacharjee Jasvinder Singh Bhatti Salahdein Aburuz Aleksandr Y. Aravkin Mohammed Z. Allouh Mohammadreza Akbari Oluwasefunmi Akeju Mohammed Ahmed Akkaif Ziyad Al-Aly Mohammed Albashtawy Shereen M. Aleidi Ali M. Alfalki Fadwa Naji Alhalaiqa Khalid A. Alhasan Endale Alemayehu Ali Rafat Ali Syed Yusuf Ali Samah W. Al-Jabi Mohammed Z. Allouh Wesam Taher Almagharbeh Maha Moh d.Wahbi Atout Khaldoon Aied Alnawafleh Najim Z. Alshahrani Awais Altaf Sadat Abdulla Aziz Jesu Arockiaraj Yuni Asri Sadat Abdulla Aziz Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader

Publication Name: Lancet

Publication Date: 2025-11-22

Volume: 406

Issue: 10518

Page Range: 2461-2482

Description:

Background Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is common and ranks among the leading causes of mortality and morbidity. This analysis aimed to present global CKD estimates using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023 to inform evidence-based policies for CKD identification and treatment. Methods This analysis focused on adults aged 20 years and older over the period 1990 to 2023, from 204 countries and territories. Data sources used were published literature, vital registration systems, kidney failure treatment registries, and household surveys. Estimates of CKD burden, including deaths, incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), were produced using a Cause of Death Ensemble model and a Bayesian meta-regression analytical tool. A comparative risk assessment approach estimated the proportion of cardiovascular deaths attributable to impaired kidney function and estimated risk factors for CKD. Findings Globally, in 2023, 788 million (95% uncertainty interval 743–843) people aged 20 years and older were estimated to have CKD, up from 378 million (354–407) in 1990. The global age-standardised prevalence of CKD in adults was 14·2% (13·4–15·2), a relative rise of 3·5% (2·7–4·1) from 1990. The region with the highest age-standardised prevalence was north Africa and the Middle East (18·0%; 16·9–19·4). Most people had stage 1–3 CKD, with a combined prevalence of 13·9% (13·1–15·0). In 2023, CKD was the ninth leading cause of death globally, accounting for 1·48 million (1·30–1·65) deaths, and the 12th leading cause of DALYs, with an age-standardised DALY rate of 769·2 (691·8–857·4) per 100 000. Impaired kidney function as a risk factor accounted for 11·5% (8·4–14·5) of cardiovascular deaths. High fasting plasma glucose, body-mass index, and systolic blood pressure were all leading risk factors for CKD DALYs. Interpretation CKD is a major global health issue, with rising prevalence and increasing importance as a cause of death and as a risk factor for cardiovascular death. A better understating of aetiology, appropriate screening, and implementation programmes are needed to translate advances in CKD treatment into improved patient outcomes. Funding Gates Foundation, Wellcome, US National Kidney Foundation, and US National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)01853-7

Authors - 109

Mohamad Amin Bakhshali

58580457100

Shoshana H. Ballew

34067516900

Ovidiu Constantin Baltatu

6603841869

Maciej Banach

22936699500

Mainak Bardhan

57819452400

Ahmed Abdelrahman Abdelgalil

60174812100

Saurav Basu

56925914600

Bekalu Mekonen Belay

59896377500

Makda Abate Belew

57701361000

Aminu K. Bello

12759638700

Luis Belo

6602879850

Amiel Nazer C. Bermudez

57194978642

Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal

57196371551

Nurudeen A. Adegoke

57196007299

Nelson Alvis-Guzman

57210741239

Yaser Mohammed Al-Worafi

58143034700

Adel Sharaf Al-Zubairi

24175581400

Masoud Aman Mohammadi

57205265256

Hubert Amu

57190183918

Filippos Anagnostakis

58156665900

Abhishek Anil

58164007300

Sajjad Ahmad

57218961022

Neeraj Bedi

57988442200

Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor

57192947419

Geminn Louis Carace Apostol

57224161827

Walter Appati

59762957900

Sulaimon O. Araromi

60262936600

Hiba Jawdat Barqawi

59730836600

Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader

57226205764

Amir Mahmoud Ahmadzade

58450881100

Salah Al Awaidy

6508132710

Syed Shujait Ali

57188688612

Omar Almidani

57412266400

Hanadi Al Hamad

56955516200

Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan

57201069050

Karem H. Alzoubi

8579544200

Maha Moh'd Wahbi Atout

57195251851

Samar Abd ElHafeez

55551273300

Sajjad Ahmad

36150469600

Nesredin Ahmed

59400637500

Marjan Ajami

26038910500

Ayman Ahmed

57199492030

Yazan Al Thaher

57194165738

Salahdein Aburuz

59755057900

Ashagre Molla Assaye

57205080407

Khursheed Aurangzeb

57194517674

Adedapo Wasiu Awotidebe

56497030000

Domenico Azzolino

57204596055

Muhammad Badar

59429105700

Lucas Guimarães Abreu

55937631400

Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani

57211604149

Bright Opoku Ahinkorah

57194684030

Dmitry Abramov

25623078100

Bilyaminu Abubakar

56389502700

Olugbenga Olusola Abiodun

54386552600

Oyelola A. Adegboye

55270465600

Isaac Yeboah Addo

56305995900

Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani

60038796000

Hasan Aalruz

57216547615

Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani

60221351500

M. D.Abu Bashar

57193518569

Shahid Bashir

59659025200

Mohammad Mahdi Bastan

58798063200

Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula

56398498300

Sonu Bhaskar

57192268582

Ajay Nagesh Bhat

57819974900

Temitayo Esther Adeyeoluwa

57218094241

Johan Ärnlöv

6602512227

Bernard Kwadwo Yeboah Asiamah-Asare

60210837200

Syed Anees Ahmed

60262936500

Patrick B. Mark

7006073874

Lauryn K. Stafford

57391714800

Morgan E. Grams

55882203700

Hansani Madushika Abeywickrama

57204445170

Mohammed Mehdi Abrar

59776872400

Khabir Ahmad

57927912600

Hasan Aalruz

60262109200

Ali Ahmadi

57193998515

Aram Mahmood Ahmed

60175690400

Shahzaib Ahmed

58910858100

Priyadarshini Bhattacharjee

58581938400

Jasvinder Singh Bhatti

14043178800

Salahdein Aburuz

55886382800

Aleksandr Y. Aravkin

35386103000

Mohammed Z. Allouh

60420813100

Mohammadreza Akbari

56360759500

Oluwasefunmi Akeju

57222188947

Mohammed Ahmed Akkaif

57222709271

Ziyad Al-Aly

9738161500

Mohammed Albashtawy

57203680806

Shereen M. Aleidi

56459017600

Ali M. Alfalki

57371493400

Fadwa Naji Alhalaiqa

54895003400

Khalid A. Alhasan

55628675300

Endale Alemayehu Ali

57784706800

Rafat Ali

57211501723

Syed Yusuf Ali

58640508800

Samah W. Al-Jabi

16302963700

Mohammed Z. Allouh

57219190321

Wesam Taher Almagharbeh

57226501794

Maha Moh d.Wahbi Atout

60225443000

Khaldoon Aied Alnawafleh

59024983500

Najim Z. Alshahrani

57222248550

Awais Altaf

57201900507

Sadat Abdulla Aziz

57192439063

Jesu Arockiaraj

36150120800

Yuni Asri

58139309900

Sadat Abdulla Aziz

60277166300

Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader

57195295816