Amr Selim Abu Lila
25723054600
Publications - 2
Global burden of enteric infectious diseases, diarrhoeal diseases, and corresponding aetiologies, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023
Usha Adiga
Emad M. Abdallah
Dariush Abtahi
Eman Abu-Gharbieh
Amr Selim Abu Lila
Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab
Rashad Abdul-Ghani
Anirudh Balakrishna Acharya
Mohd Adnan
Lorainne Tudor Car
Victor Adekanmbi
Reda Abdel-Hameed
Asrat Agalu Abejew
Ayo Stephen Adebowale
Samar Abd Elhafeez
Jeza Muhamad Abdul Aziz
Ripon Kumar Adhikary
Muhammad Sohail Afzal
Nermeen Abu-Elala
Auwal Abdullahi
Rana Kamal Abu Farha
Isaac Yeboah Addo
Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa
Victor Ibukun Agbajelola
Zeleke Dutamo Agde
Obed Adonteng-Kissi
Piyush Agrawal
Swetha Acharya
Charles Oluwaseun Adetunji
Lisa C. Adams
Fuad Hamdi A. Abuadas
Madineh Abbasi
Omar Ahmed Abdelwahab
Nurudeen A. Adegoke
Jiawei He
Makinde Adebayo Adeniyi
Austin Carter
Abdu A. Adamu
Rezheen Fatah Abdulrahman
Olumide Thomas Adeleke
Feleke Doyore Agide
Babatope Oluwadamilare Adebiyi
Olifan Zewdie Abil
Samuel B. Albertson
Dina Abushanab
Sawsan Abuhammad
David Adedia
Kamoru Ademola Adedokun
Percival Delali Delali Agordoh
A. Bhoomadevi
Catherine Bisignano
Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani
Oluwawemimo Oluseun Adebowale
Ebenezer Afrifa-Yamoah
Hasan Aalruz
Avina Vongpradith
Samuel M. Ostroff
Richard Gyan Aboagye
Molalign Aligaz Aligaz Adisu
Melese Shenkut Abebe
Navidha Aggarwal
Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader
Arman Abdous
Nagah M. Abourashed
Toufik Abdul-Rahman
Belete Muluadam Admassie
Regina Mae Villanueva Dominguez
Hana J. Abukhadijah
Abdullahi Tunde Aborode
Abdulrakib Abdulrahim
Abdelmuhsin Abdelgadir
Hassan Abolhassani
Adedeji Adenusi
Saheed Ayodeji Adekola
Yirgalem Abere
Shairyar Afzal
Oluwatobi E. Adegbile
None Abdullah
Sadik Abdulwehab
Belayneh Jejaw Abate
Aishah Fadila Adamu
Syed Hani Abidi
Tajudeen Adesanmi Adebisi
Kulmira Abdykerimova
Wakgari Mosisa Abdisa
Alqassem H. Abuarqoub
Ahmed Abdelrahman Abdelgalil
Amanda Movo
Rofiat Adewumi Adewumi Aderinoye-Rabiu
Hasan Aalruz
Krishna Prasad Acharya
Meklit Girma Abebe
Abdulbasit Sherfa Abduljelil
Bhoomadevi A
Ahmed AH Abdellatif
Nermeen Abu-Elala
Adekola George Adepoju
Zirak Ahmed Abdulrahman
Kalkidan Yibeltal Admassu
Yau Adamu
Nagah M. Abourashed
Daniel Adeyemi Adepoju
Olumide Abiodun
Saira Afzal
Publication Name: Lancet Infectious Diseases
Publication Date: 2026-01-01
Volume: Unknown
Issue: Unknown
Page Range: Unknown
Description:
Background: Enteric infectious diseases claim more than 1 million lives annually and are among the top ten causes of death in children younger than 5 years. Remarkable global investment has been dedicated to enteric infectious disease prevention and control; however, the shifting global health landscape is testing the continuance of progress. To evaluate the current status and guide future interventions, we present the latest epidemiological estimates of enteric infectious diseases from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023 and assess progress towards the Global Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Pneumonia and Diarrhoea (GAPPD) mortality target of fewer than 20 deaths per 100 000 children younger than 5 years by 2025. Methods: We quantified the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of enteric infectious diseases by age, sex, and year across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023. In GBD 2023, the following were considered under the category of enteric infectious diseases: diarrhoeal diseases, enteric fever (typhoid and paratyphoid), invasive non-typhoidal Salmonella spp (iNTS) infections, and other intestinal infectious diseases. We also examined 15 aetiologies contributing to diarrhoeal diseases. Incidence and prevalence were estimated with DisMod-MR (version 2.1), a Bayesian meta-regression tool, drawing on data from systematic reviews, population-based surveys, claims data, and hospital sources. Cause-specific mortality was modelled with Cause of Death Ensemble Modelling based on data from sources including vital registration, mortality surveillance, verbal autopsy, and minimally invasive tissue sampling. Years of life lost and years lived with disability were computed and combined to derive DALYs. For aetiology-specific estimation, population-attributable fractions (PAFs) for 15 pathogens were derived with a counterfactual framework. Point estimates and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated from 250 draws from the posterior distribution. Findings: In 2023, enteric infectious diseases resulted in an estimated 1·27 million (95% UI 0·963–1·68) deaths globally, declining from 3·69 million (3·04–4·56) in 1990. The global age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) decreased from 74·1 (62·0–92·9) per 100 000 population to 16·4 (12·6–21·3) per 100 000 population during the same period. Diarrhoeal diseases accounted for most deaths in 2023 (1·11 million [0·811–1·54]), followed by enteric fever and iNTS. South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa remained the most affected regions in 2023, with 599 000 (441 000–882 000) and 501 000 (373 000–648 000) deaths due to enteric infectious diseases, respectively, predominantly from diarrhoeal disease. Rotavirus was the leading cause of all-age diarrhoeal disease deaths (PAF 16·3% [12·0–21·5]), followed by norovirus (10·2% [2·4–17·0]) and Shigella spp (9·3% [5·4–15·2]). Among children younger than 5 years, PAFs of deaths due to diarrhoeal diseases were 40·2% (32·5–48·5) for rotavirus, 24·0% (15·1–36·7) for Shigella spp, and 23·4% (13·7–34·3) for adenovirus. Across 204 countries and territories, 141 met the GAPPD mortality target in 2023. The driving aetiologies among countries that did not meet the target in 2023 varied slightly by GBD super-region, but the highest or second-highest number of deaths in children younger than 5 years were consistently attributed to rotavirus. Astrovirus and sapovirus, newly included in GBD 2023, were responsible for 24 600 (6290–49 000) and 18 800 (4650–44 400) deaths, respectively, in 2023, mainly in children younger than 5 years. Interpretation: Our findings show that mortality and ASMRs of enteric infectious diseases declined substantially between 1990 and 2023. This decline is consistent with the expansion of public health measures and broader socioeconomic development. However, the burden in 2023 remains considerably high, with the highest mortality concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia. Considering that more than a quarter of all countries had yet to meet the GAPPD mortality target in 2023, sustained efforts are needed to address the persistent burden in affected countries and to adapt to the changing global health landscape. Funding: Gates Foundation.
Open Access: Yes
Global, regional, and national burden of tuberculosis and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis by HIV status, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023
Usha Adiga
Emad M. Abdallah
Meriem Abdoun
Eman Abu-Gharbieh
Amr Selim Abu Lila
Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab
Rashad Abdul-Ghani
Anirudh Balakrishna Acharya
Mohd Adnan
Victor Adekanmbi
Dhiraj Motilal Agarwal
Asrat Agalu Abejew
Samar Abd Elhafeez
Jeza Muhamad Abdul Aziz
Ripon Kumar Adhikary
Muhammad Sohail Afzal
Auwal Abdullahi
Ukachukwu O. Abaraogu
Rana Kamal Abu Farha
Isaac Yeboah Addo
Bilyaminu Abubakar
Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa
Olatunji O. Adetokunboh
Ali Abuhaliema
Obed Adonteng-Kissi
Lawan Hassan Adamu
Sherief Abd-Elsalam
Swetha Acharya
Williams Agyemang-Duah
Mei Fong Liew
Charles Oluwaseun Adetunji
Juliana Bunmi Adetunji
Aseel Aburub
Deldar Morad Abdulah
Abiola Victor Adepoju
Jiawei He
Makinde Adebayo Adeniyi
Abdu A. Adamu
Rezheen Fatah Abdulrahman
Olumide Thomas Adeleke
Feleke Doyore Agide
Jorge R. Ledesma
Babatope Oluwadamilare Adebiyi
Olifan Zewdie Abil
Sawsan Abuhammad
Kamoru Ademola Adedokun
Percival Delali Delali Agordoh
Oluwawemimo Oluseun Adebowale
Arailym Abilbayeva
Ebenezer Afrifa-Yamoah
Yasir M. Abdulateef
Abdul Momin Rizwan Ahmad
Mai Abdel Haleem Abusalah
Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi
Samuel M. Ostroff
Richard Gyan Aboagye
Molalign Aligaz Aligaz Adisu
Shimaa M. Aboelnaga
Huong Thi Chu
Navidha Aggarwal
Wondimnew Desalegn Addis
Ridwan Olamilekan Adesola
Ali Abdolizadeh
Arman Abdous
Nagah M. Abourashed
Prince Owusu Adoma
Gizachew Beykaso Agafari
Belete Muluadam Admassie
Regina Mae Villanueva Dominguez
Hana J. Abukhadijah
Abdullahi Tunde Aborode
Meixin Zhang
Jianing Ma
Abdulrakib Abdulrahim
Hassan Abolhassani
Saheed Ayodeji Adekola
Sophie Mei Lin Whikehart
Oluwatobi E. Adegbile
Habtamu Abebe Getahun
Nuhu Lawan Adamu
None Abdullah
Sadik Abdulwehab
Belayneh Jejaw Abate
Megan Verma
Syed Hani Abidi
Tajudeen Adesanmi Adebisi
Wakgari Mosisa Abdisa
Amanda Movo
Mahdi Aghaalikhani
Yasir M. Abdulateef
Krishna Prasad Acharya
Adamu Adamu Ahmad
Hassan A. Abdou
Zirak Ahmed Abdulrahman
Nagah M. Abourashed
Hatem A Eltaly
Mazhar Abbas
Vijay K. Aggarwal
Adnan Ahmad
Nermeen Abu-Elala
Olumide Abiodun
Saira Afzal
Publication Name: Lancet Infectious Diseases
Publication Date: 2026-01-01
Volume: Unknown
Issue: Unknown
Page Range: Unknown
Description:
Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading global cause of death from a single infectious agent. Recent reductions in global health funding have threatened TB control, making comprehensive assessment of TB, HIV-related TB, and drug-resistant TB burdens before these disruptions essential for shaping effective responses. The WHO End TB Strategy sets targets of a 95% reduction in TB deaths and a 90% reduction in TB incidence between 2015 and 2035. Using results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023, this study aims to assess the burden of TB and multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) across 204 countries and territories, and to evaluate progress towards the WHO End TB incidence and mortality targets. Methods: We quantified TB mortality using the Cause of Death Ensemble modelling platform with global vital registration, surveillance, verbal autopsy, and minimally invasive tissue sampling data. For TB morbidity estimation, we simultaneously modelled incidence, prevalence, and mortality by age and sex using DisMod-MR 2.1. A population attributable fraction (PAF) approach was applied to stratify morbidity and mortality estimates by HIV and drug-resistance status. We also calculated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) as the sum of years of life lost and years lived with disability. For the risk factor analysis, a comparative risk assessment framework was used and PAFs were derived for alcohol use, smoking, and high fasting plasma glucose to determine the proportion of TB burden associated with these risk factors. Findings: In 2023, there were an estimated 9·11 million (95% uncertainty interval 8·04–10·3) incident cases of all-form TB, 1·22 million (0·98–1·49) deaths, and 54·6 million (43·8–65·5) DALYs globally. HIV-related TB comprised 781 000 (690 000–879 000) incident cases and 210 000 (142 000–279 000) deaths, contributing 11·0 million (7·56–14·3) DALYs. MDR-TB accounted for 466 000 (198 000–1 080 000) incident cases, 102 000 (31 700–238 000) deaths, and 3·96 million (1·31–9·01) DALYs. From 2015 to 2023, global all-form TB incidence rates declined by 19·2% (17·8–20·5) and deaths declined by 22·6% (4·7–35·7); declines were larger for drug-susceptible TB than for MDR-TB. Sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia had the highest mortality burdens in 2023; reductions in all-form TB incidence and mortality were uneven between 2000 and 2023, with limited progress in both measures in Latin America and the Caribbean. Removing smoking, alcohol use, and high fasting plasma glucose would reduce global TB deaths to 768 000 (592 000–970 000) and DALYs to 34·9 million (27·8–43·8) in 2023; MDR-TB deaths would decrease to 77 200 (23 400–183 000) and DALYs to 3·12 million (1·03–7·29). Interpretation: Global progress towards WHO End TB targets is disparate and fragile. Although many regions achieved meaningful gains, others have stagnated in recent years. The complexity of TB prevention is amplified by divergent MDR-TB trends, the persistent burden of HIV, and growing exposure to modifiable risk factors. Recent volatility in global health financing threatens to further destabilise this vulnerable epidemiological landscape; concerted action is urgently needed to temper disruptions and preserve progress. Funding: Gates Foundation.
Open Access: Yes