Aishah Fadila Adamu

59432178200

Publications - 2

Global burden of enteric infectious diseases, diarrhoeal diseases, and corresponding aetiologies, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Usha Adiga Emad M. Abdallah Dariush Abtahi Eman Abu-Gharbieh Amr Selim Abu Lila Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab Rashad Abdul-Ghani Anirudh Balakrishna Acharya Mohd Adnan Lorainne Tudor Car Victor Adekanmbi Reda Abdel-Hameed Asrat Agalu Abejew Ayo Stephen Adebowale Samar Abd Elhafeez Jeza Muhamad Abdul Aziz Ripon Kumar Adhikary Muhammad Sohail Afzal Nermeen Abu-Elala Auwal Abdullahi Rana Kamal Abu Farha Isaac Yeboah Addo Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa Victor Ibukun Agbajelola Ahmed AH Abdellatif Zeleke Dutamo Agde Obed Adonteng-Kissi Piyush Agrawal Swetha Acharya Charles Oluwaseun Adetunji Lisa C. Adams Fuad Hamdi A. Abuadas Madineh Abbasi Omar Ahmed Abdelwahab Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader Nurudeen A. Adegoke Jiawei He Makinde Adebayo Adeniyi Austin Carter Abdu A. Adamu Rezheen Fatah Abdulrahman Olumide Thomas Adeleke Feleke Doyore Agide Babatope Oluwadamilare Adebiyi Olifan Zewdie Abil Samuel B. Albertson Dina Abushanab Sawsan Abuhammad David Adedia Kamoru Ademola Adedokun Percival Delali Delali Agordoh A. Bhoomadevi Catherine Bisignano Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Oluwawemimo Oluseun Adebowale Ebenezer Afrifa-Yamoah Hasan Aalruz Avina Vongpradith Samuel M. Ostroff Richard Gyan Aboagye Molalign Aligaz Aligaz Adisu Melese Shenkut Abebe Navidha Aggarwal Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader Arman Abdous Nagah M. Abourashed Toufik Abdul-Rahman Belete Muluadam Admassie Regina Mae Villanueva Dominguez Hana J. Abukhadijah Abdullahi Tunde Aborode Abdulrakib Abdulrahim Abdelmuhsin Abdelgadir Hassan Abolhassani Adedeji Adenusi Saheed Ayodeji Adekola Yirgalem Abere Shairyar Afzal Oluwatobi E. Adegbile None Abdullah Sadik Abdulwehab Belayneh Jejaw Abate Aishah Fadila Adamu Syed Hani Abidi Tajudeen Adesanmi Adebisi Kulmira Abdykerimova Wakgari Mosisa Abdisa Alqassem H. Abuarqoub Ahmed Abdelrahman Abdelgalil Amanda Movo Rofiat Adewumi Adewumi Aderinoye-Rabiu Hasan Aalruz Krishna Prasad Acharya Meklit Girma Abebe Abdulbasit Sherfa Abduljelil Bhoomadevi A Ahmed AH Abdellatif Nermeen Abu-Elala Adekola George Adepoju Zirak Ahmed Abdulrahman Kalkidan Yibeltal Admassu Yau Adamu Nagah M. Abourashed Daniel Adeyemi Adepoju Olumide Abiodun Saira Afzal

Publication Name: Lancet Infectious Diseases

Publication Date: 2026-01-01

Volume: Unknown

Issue: Unknown

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

Background: Enteric infectious diseases claim more than 1 million lives annually and are among the top ten causes of death in children younger than 5 years. Remarkable global investment has been dedicated to enteric infectious disease prevention and control; however, the shifting global health landscape is testing the continuance of progress. To evaluate the current status and guide future interventions, we present the latest epidemiological estimates of enteric infectious diseases from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023 and assess progress towards the Global Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Pneumonia and Diarrhoea (GAPPD) mortality target of fewer than 20 deaths per 100 000 children younger than 5 years by 2025. Methods: We quantified the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of enteric infectious diseases by age, sex, and year across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023. In GBD 2023, the following were considered under the category of enteric infectious diseases: diarrhoeal diseases, enteric fever (typhoid and paratyphoid), invasive non-typhoidal Salmonella spp (iNTS) infections, and other intestinal infectious diseases. We also examined 15 aetiologies contributing to diarrhoeal diseases. Incidence and prevalence were estimated with DisMod-MR (version 2.1), a Bayesian meta-regression tool, drawing on data from systematic reviews, population-based surveys, claims data, and hospital sources. Cause-specific mortality was modelled with Cause of Death Ensemble Modelling based on data from sources including vital registration, mortality surveillance, verbal autopsy, and minimally invasive tissue sampling. Years of life lost and years lived with disability were computed and combined to derive DALYs. For aetiology-specific estimation, population-attributable fractions (PAFs) for 15 pathogens were derived with a counterfactual framework. Point estimates and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated from 250 draws from the posterior distribution. Findings: In 2023, enteric infectious diseases resulted in an estimated 1·27 million (95% UI 0·963–1·68) deaths globally, declining from 3·69 million (3·04–4·56) in 1990. The global age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) decreased from 74·1 (62·0–92·9) per 100 000 population to 16·4 (12·6–21·3) per 100 000 population during the same period. Diarrhoeal diseases accounted for most deaths in 2023 (1·11 million [0·811–1·54]), followed by enteric fever and iNTS. South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa remained the most affected regions in 2023, with 599 000 (441 000–882 000) and 501 000 (373 000–648 000) deaths due to enteric infectious diseases, respectively, predominantly from diarrhoeal disease. Rotavirus was the leading cause of all-age diarrhoeal disease deaths (PAF 16·3% [12·0–21·5]), followed by norovirus (10·2% [2·4–17·0]) and Shigella spp (9·3% [5·4–15·2]). Among children younger than 5 years, PAFs of deaths due to diarrhoeal diseases were 40·2% (32·5–48·5) for rotavirus, 24·0% (15·1–36·7) for Shigella spp, and 23·4% (13·7–34·3) for adenovirus. Across 204 countries and territories, 141 met the GAPPD mortality target in 2023. The driving aetiologies among countries that did not meet the target in 2023 varied slightly by GBD super-region, but the highest or second-highest number of deaths in children younger than 5 years were consistently attributed to rotavirus. Astrovirus and sapovirus, newly included in GBD 2023, were responsible for 24 600 (6290–49 000) and 18 800 (4650–44 400) deaths, respectively, in 2023, mainly in children younger than 5 years. Interpretation: Our findings show that mortality and ASMRs of enteric infectious diseases declined substantially between 1990 and 2023. This decline is consistent with the expansion of public health measures and broader socioeconomic development. However, the burden in 2023 remains considerably high, with the highest mortality concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia. Considering that more than a quarter of all countries had yet to meet the GAPPD mortality target in 2023, sustained efforts are needed to address the persistent burden in affected countries and to adapt to the changing global health landscape. Funding: Gates Foundation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(26)00194-5

Global, regional, and national burden of road injuries 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Dariush Abtahi Meriem Abdoun Sami Saleh Alabdulwahab Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab Marjan Ajami Dari Alhuwail Victor Adekanmbi Fadwa Naji Alhalaiqa Auwal Abdullahi Ukachukwu O. Abaraogu Rana Kamal Abu Farha Isaac Yeboah Addo Shereen M. Aleidi Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa Irfan Ali Clifford Afoakwah Obed Adonteng-Kissi Sheikh Mohammad Alif Williams Agyemang-Duah Fuad Hamdi A. Abuadas Ali Ahmadi Stephanie C.C. van der Lubbe Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal Ayman Ahmed Deldar Morad Abdulah Mahnaz Afshari Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan Danish Ahmad Mohammed Albashtawy Khurshid Alam Olumide Thomas Adeleke Mohamed Abouzid Hansani Madushika Abeywickrama Babatope Oluwadamilare Adebiyi Armita Abedi Dina Abushanab Muktar Beshir Ahmed Kamoru Ademola Adedokun A. Bhoomadevi Muayyad M. Ahmad Aqeel Ahmad Neda Akhoundi Miracle Ayomikun Adesina Hedayat Abbastabar Ebenezer Afrifa-Yamoah Fahad Mashhour Alanezi Tauseef Ahmad Abdul Momin Rizwan Ahmad Hasan Aalruz Niveen M.E. Abu-Rmeileh Muath A. Alammar Sajjad Ahmad Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi Richard Gyan Aboagye Shreyash Agrawal Hussin Albargi Kamran Ali Nagah M. Abourashed Aiman P. Afsar Toufik Abdul-Rahman Shabbir Ahmed Mohammed Usman Ali Prince Owusu Adoma Madeline E. Moberg Hana J. Abukhadijah Abdullahi Tunde Aborode Khabir Ahmad Amani Alansari Salome Wumpini Agordoh Mehrunnisha Sharif Ahmed Zinat Abdrakhmanova Dolapo Emmanuel Ajala Aminu Kende Abubakar Hailey Lenox Tesfaye Birhanu Abebe Ashraf Alhumaidi Amidu Alhassan None Abdullah Aishah Fadila Adamu Apurba Acharya Mostafa Alam Teklebirhan Abrha Abrha Zahra Abbasi Dolatabadi Mohamed Sherif Ali Ahmed Tajudeen Adesanmi Adebisi Mohammad Ahmmad Mahmoud Al Zoubi Dominique Aluquin Mahdi Aghaalikhani Hasan Aalruz Haroon Ahmed Mohammad Shahid Ali Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal Adekola George Adepoju Vijay K. Aggarwal Bhoomadevi A Mohammed Fasihul Alam Yawen Zhou Kiran Acharya Nagah M. Abourashed Salah Al Awaidy Olumide Abiodun Saira Afzal Mohammad Khursheed Alam Ali Ahmed

Publication Name: Lancet Public Health

Publication Date: 2026-01-01

Volume: Unknown

Issue: Unknown

Page Range: Unknown

Description:

Background Road injuries are a leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. Years of international efforts have aimed to strengthen policy engagement, including the 2020 UN General Assembly's proclamation of the Second Decade of Action for Road Safety (2021–30), targeting a 50% reduction in road traffic deaths and serious injuries by 2030. The aim of this study is to provide estimates to monitor progress and identify intervention gaps. Methods As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2023, we estimated incidence, mortality, and morbidity of road injuries for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023. Four road injury types and 47 nature-of-injury categories were examined. Morbidity and mortality data from clinical records, vital registration, and police reports were harmonised using meta-analytic techniques to ensure consistency and correct for systematic bias. Incidence was modelled with the meta-regression tool Disease Modelling-Meta-Regression version 2.1 and cause-specific mortality with the Cause of Death Ensemble model, both incorporating location-specific covariates to support interpolation. Years of life lived with disability (YLDs) were estimated from the prevalence and severity of the nature of road injury, and years of life lost (YLLs) from the number of cause-specific deaths multiplied by the standard life expectancy at the age of death. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were the sum of YLLs and YLDs. All metrics were calculated with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Findings In 2023, there were 50·9 million (95% UI 46·1–56·1) road injury incident cases, 1·34 million (1·04–1·58) deaths, and 75·3 million (59·8–89·2) DALYs globally. Road injuries were the leading global cause of death among males aged 10–39 years. Between 1990 and 2023, age-standardised incidence decreased by 38·3% (95% UI 36·9–39·7) and mortality decreased by 32·3% (6·1–49·0), but progress varied widely by World Bank income group. Mortality in low-income countries (43·8 [95% UI 31·7–56·0] deaths per 100 000 population) was approximately six times higher than in high-income countries (7·5 [7·1–7·9] deaths per 100 000), despite the high-income countries showing the highest age-standardised incidence rates (858·1 [95% UI 781·9–947·1] cases per 100 000). In the past decade, many countries achieved notable reductions in road injuries, but others, including Ghana and the USA, saw increases. More severe injuries tended to occur in low-income and middle-income countries. Interpretation Although global incidence, mortality, and DALY rates from road injuries have declined, progress remains uneven, with pronounced disparities across income groups reflecting systemic inadequacies in infrastructure, vehicle standards, enforcement, and post-crash care. Strengthening emergency response, improving road design, enforcing safety measures, and adapting policies to the evolving demographics remain essential. Funding Gates Foundation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S2468-2667(26)00141-6