Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal
60656555500
Publications - 2
Updated trends in the global prevalence and burden of mental disorders, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023
Usha Adiga
Thilini Chanchala Agampodi
Rasmieh Mustafa Al-Amer
Marjan Ajami
Mohd Adnan
Omar Al Omari
Fadwa Naji Alhalaiqa
Salahdein Aburuz
Rufus Adesoji Adedoyin
Khurshid Ahmad
Rana Kamal Abu Farha
Isaac Yeboah Addo
Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa
Wole Akosile
Irfan Ali
Nader Al-Dewik
Obed Adonteng-Kissi
Damian F. Santomauro
Lawan Hassan Adamu
César Agostinis Sobrinho
Nadin M.I. Abdel Razeq
Williams Agyemang-Duah
Sarah Wulf Hanson
Ana M. Mantilla Herrera
Shady Abohashem
Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal
Tariq A. Alalwan
Ayman Ahmed
Prince Agwu
Fahad D. Algahtani
Deldar Morad Abdulah
Negar Sadat Ahmadi
Makinde Adebayo Adeniyi
John J. McGrath
Holly E. Erskine
Mohammed Albashtawy
Khurshid Alam
Meshack Achore
Olumide Thomas Adeleke
Babatope Oluwadamilare Adebiyi
Olifan Zewdie Abil
Sawsan Abuhammad
Abdulelah Mastour Aldhahir
David Adedia
Rafat Ali
Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani
Miracle Ayomikun Adesina
Sarah Wulf Hanson
Hedayat Abbastabar
Tauseef Ahmad
Oli Ahmed
Hasan Aalruz
James G. Scott
Sajjad Ahmad
Zenaw Debasu Addisu
Hailey Hagins
Jamileh Shadid
Giuseppina Affinito
Richard Gyan Aboagye
Mesfin Abebe
Navidha Aggarwal
Ali Abdolizadeh
David Adzrago
Ali M. Alfalki
Kamran Ali
Kasuni H.M. Akalanka
Mohammed Usman Ali
Hana J. Abukhadijah
Abdullah Alarifi
Abdullahi Tunde Aborode
Khabir Ahmad
Mohammad T. Abuawwad
Amani Alansari
Habeeb Abiodun Afolabi
Ashley E. Akrami
Saheed Ayodeji Adekola
Moaz Elsayed Abouelmagd
Aminu Kende Abubakar
Meqdad Saleh Ahmed
Paul Anthony Miller
Anh Vo
Habtamu Abebe Getahun
Ashraf Alhumaidi
Nuhu Lawan Adamu
Nesredin Ahmed
Abisola Esther Abdulmalik
Mohammad Daud Ali
Tajudeen Adesanmi Adebisi
Mohammad Ahmmad Mahmoud Al Zoubi
Ahmed Abdelrahman Abdelgalil
Aram Mahmood Ahmed
Hasan Aalruz
Syed Anees Ahmed
Adamu Adamu Ahmad
Suhaib Ahmad
Abisola Esther Abdulmalik
Roberto Ariel Abeldaño Zuñiga
Meklit Girma Abebe
Dhikroh Oriyomi Adekola
Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal
Darius Jake Roy
Salah Al Awaidy
Muhammad Nadeem Akhtar
Ali Ahmed
Publication Name: Lancet
Publication Date: 2026-05-23
Volume: 407
Issue: 10543
Page Range: 2040-2064
Description:
Background The 2023 iteration of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) estimated prevalence, incidence, and health burden for 375 diseases and injuries, including 12 mental disorders. We assess past, current, and emerging trends in the prevalence and burden of mental disorders across sexes and age groups, for 21 regions, 204 countries and territories, and by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile, from 1990 to 2023. Methods Mental disorders included in GBD 2023 were anxiety disorders, major depressive disorder, dysthymia, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, autism spectrum disorders, conduct disorder, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder, anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa, idiopathic developmental intellectual disability, and a residual category of other mental disorders. A literature review identified epidemiological data for each disorder. These were analysed via a Bayesian meta-regression to estimate prevalence by disorder, sex, age, location, and year. Disorder-specific prevalence was multiplied by disability weights representing the severity of health loss associated with each disorder to estimate years lived with disability (YLDs). Deaths due to anorexia nervosa were assessed with a Cause of Death Ensemble modelling strategy to estimate deaths by sex, age, location, and year, and then multiplied by the standard life expectancy at age of death to estimate years of life lost (YLLs). YLDs equalled disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for all mental disorders except anorexia nervosa (the only mental disorder considered as an underlying cause of death in GBD), for which DALYs represented the sum of YLDs and YLLs. We presented prevalence, deaths, YLDs, YLLs, and DALYs as counts, age-specific rates per 100 000 population, and age-standardised rates per 100 000 population. Findings We estimated 1·17 billion (95% uncertainty interval 1·06–1·31) prevalent cases of mental disorders globally in 2023, equivalent to an age-standardised prevalence rate of 14 210·7 cases (12 849·5–15 940·1) per 100 000 population. These estimates represented a 95·5% (75·0–121·2) increase in prevalent cases and 24·2% (11·4–41·4) increase in age-standardised prevalence rate between 1990 and 2023. All mental disorders showed increases in prevalent cases between 1990 and 2023, while notable increases were seen in age-standardised prevalence rates for anxiety disorders, major depressive disorder, dysthymia, anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa, schizophrenia, and conduct disorder. There were an estimated 171 million (127–228) DALYs due to mental disorders globally across sex and age in 2023, equivalent to an age-standardised DALY rate of 2070·5 DALYs (1519·1–2750·5) per 100 000 population. Mental disorders contributed to 6·1% (4·8–7·6) of all-cause DALYs in 2023, making them the fifth leading cause of global DALYs (up from 12th in 1990). DALYs were almost entirely composed of YLDs. Mental disorders were the leading cause of YLDs in 2023 (up from second in 1990), explaining 17·3% (14·8–20·6) of all-cause global YLDs. Leading causes of mental disorder DALYs were anxiety disorders (ranked 11th among the 304 diseases and injuries at Level 4 of the GBD cause hierarchy), major depressive disorder (15th), and schizophrenia (41st). Globally in 2023, mental disorder age-standardised DALY rates were higher among females (2239·6 [1643·7–3014·1] per 100 000) than among males (1900·2 [1399·8–2510·8] per 100 000), and peaked in the 15–19 years age group (2617·3 [1850·6–3696·8] per 100 000). All locations showed increased mental disorder DALY rates in 2023 compared with 1990, ranging across countries and territories from 1302·4 (952·7–1683·7) per 100 000 in Viet Nam to 3555·8 (2661·9–4715·0) per 100 000 in the Netherlands. Across SDI quintiles, DALY rates ranged from 1853·0 (1352·1–2469·3) per 100 000 for middle SDI to 2184·1 (1606·1–2890·3) per 100 000 for high SDI. Interpretation A significant health burden was imposed by mental disorders in all countries and territories in 2023, irrespective of the health resources available. In some instances, this burden has increased over time and is unevenly distributed across populations. Stronger surveillance systems, particularly in low-income and middle-income countries, are required. Additionally, we need more coordinated and inclusive policies to reduce the burden through early treatment and prevention, tailored to sex and age differences across locations. Responding to the mental health needs of our global population, especially those most vulnerable, is an obligation, not a choice. Funding Gates Foundation, Queensland Health, and University of Queensland.
Open Access: Yes
Global, regional, and national burden of road injuries 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023
Dariush Abtahi
Meriem Abdoun
Sami Saleh Alabdulwahab
Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab
Marjan Ajami
Dari Alhuwail
Victor Adekanmbi
Fadwa Naji Alhalaiqa
Auwal Abdullahi
Ukachukwu O. Abaraogu
Rana Kamal Abu Farha
Isaac Yeboah Addo
Shereen M. Aleidi
Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa
Irfan Ali
Clifford Afoakwah
Obed Adonteng-Kissi
Sheikh Mohammad Alif
Williams Agyemang-Duah
Fuad Hamdi A. Abuadas
Ali Ahmadi
Stephanie C.C. van der Lubbe
Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal
Ayman Ahmed
Deldar Morad Abdulah
Mahnaz Afshari
Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan
Danish Ahmad
Mohammed Albashtawy
Khurshid Alam
Olumide Thomas Adeleke
Mohamed Abouzid
Hansani Madushika Abeywickrama
Babatope Oluwadamilare Adebiyi
Armita Abedi
Dina Abushanab
Muktar Beshir Ahmed
Kamoru Ademola Adedokun
A. Bhoomadevi
Muayyad M. Ahmad
Aqeel Ahmad
Neda Akhoundi
Miracle Ayomikun Adesina
Hedayat Abbastabar
Ebenezer Afrifa-Yamoah
Fahad Mashhour Alanezi
Tauseef Ahmad
Abdul Momin Rizwan Ahmad
Hasan Aalruz
Niveen M.E. Abu-Rmeileh
Muath A. Alammar
Sajjad Ahmad
Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi
Richard Gyan Aboagye
Shreyash Agrawal
Hussin Albargi
Kamran Ali
Nagah M. Abourashed
Aiman P. Afsar
Toufik Abdul-Rahman
Shabbir Ahmed
Mohammed Usman Ali
Prince Owusu Adoma
Madeline E. Moberg
Hana J. Abukhadijah
Abdullahi Tunde Aborode
Khabir Ahmad
Amani Alansari
Salome Wumpini Agordoh
Mehrunnisha Sharif Ahmed
Zinat Abdrakhmanova
Dolapo Emmanuel Ajala
Aminu Kende Abubakar
Hailey Lenox
Tesfaye Birhanu Abebe
Ashraf Alhumaidi
Amidu Alhassan
None Abdullah
Aishah Fadila Adamu
Apurba Acharya
Mostafa Alam
Teklebirhan Abrha Abrha
Zahra Abbasi Dolatabadi
Mohamed Sherif Ali Ahmed
Tajudeen Adesanmi Adebisi
Mohammad Ahmmad Mahmoud Al Zoubi
Dominique Aluquin
Mahdi Aghaalikhani
Hasan Aalruz
Haroon Ahmed
Mohammad Shahid Ali
Fahmi Y. Al-Ashwal
Adekola George Adepoju
Vijay K. Aggarwal
Bhoomadevi A
Mohammed Fasihul Alam
Yawen Zhou
Kiran Acharya
Nagah M. Abourashed
Salah Al Awaidy
Olumide Abiodun
Saira Afzal
Mohammad Khursheed Alam
Ali Ahmed
Publication Name: Lancet Public Health
Publication Date: 2026-01-01
Volume: Unknown
Issue: Unknown
Page Range: Unknown
Description:
Background Road injuries are a leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. Years of international efforts have aimed to strengthen policy engagement, including the 2020 UN General Assembly's proclamation of the Second Decade of Action for Road Safety (2021–30), targeting a 50% reduction in road traffic deaths and serious injuries by 2030. The aim of this study is to provide estimates to monitor progress and identify intervention gaps. Methods As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2023, we estimated incidence, mortality, and morbidity of road injuries for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023. Four road injury types and 47 nature-of-injury categories were examined. Morbidity and mortality data from clinical records, vital registration, and police reports were harmonised using meta-analytic techniques to ensure consistency and correct for systematic bias. Incidence was modelled with the meta-regression tool Disease Modelling-Meta-Regression version 2.1 and cause-specific mortality with the Cause of Death Ensemble model, both incorporating location-specific covariates to support interpolation. Years of life lived with disability (YLDs) were estimated from the prevalence and severity of the nature of road injury, and years of life lost (YLLs) from the number of cause-specific deaths multiplied by the standard life expectancy at the age of death. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were the sum of YLLs and YLDs. All metrics were calculated with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Findings In 2023, there were 50·9 million (95% UI 46·1–56·1) road injury incident cases, 1·34 million (1·04–1·58) deaths, and 75·3 million (59·8–89·2) DALYs globally. Road injuries were the leading global cause of death among males aged 10–39 years. Between 1990 and 2023, age-standardised incidence decreased by 38·3% (95% UI 36·9–39·7) and mortality decreased by 32·3% (6·1–49·0), but progress varied widely by World Bank income group. Mortality in low-income countries (43·8 [95% UI 31·7–56·0] deaths per 100 000 population) was approximately six times higher than in high-income countries (7·5 [7·1–7·9] deaths per 100 000), despite the high-income countries showing the highest age-standardised incidence rates (858·1 [95% UI 781·9–947·1] cases per 100 000). In the past decade, many countries achieved notable reductions in road injuries, but others, including Ghana and the USA, saw increases. More severe injuries tended to occur in low-income and middle-income countries. Interpretation Although global incidence, mortality, and DALY rates from road injuries have declined, progress remains uneven, with pronounced disparities across income groups reflecting systemic inadequacies in infrastructure, vehicle standards, enforcement, and post-crash care. Strengthening emergency response, improving road design, enforcing safety measures, and adapting policies to the evolving demographics remain essential. Funding Gates Foundation.
Open Access: Yes