Nurila Aryntayeva
59998436200
Publications - 2
Burden of chronic respiratory disease in Asia, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023
Mohammad Fareed
Giridhara Rathnaiah Babu
Shankar M. Bakkannavar
Anurag Agrawal
Mahaveer Golechha
Jesu Arockiaraj
Devananda Devegowda
Atif Amin Baig
Rupesh K. Gautam
Ferry Efendi
Mahwish Arooj
Vijay Kumar Chattu
Ripon Kumar Adhikary
Narayan Babu Dhital
Anup Bhat
Dinh Toi Chu
Ashish D. Badiye
Tahira Ashraf
Ibrahim Elsohaby
Saurav Basu
Ayesha Fahim
Syed Amir Ashraf
Jaeyu Park
Syed Shujait Ali
Sheikh Mohammad Alif
Jeetendra Bhandari
Arun Ghuge
Ahmad Naoras Bitar
Mohammad Shahangir Biswas
Linh Phuong Bui
Bijit Biswas
Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan
Awais Altaf
Zahid A. Butt
Danish Ahmad
Min Seo Kim
Khurshid Alam
Jeffrey Shi Kai Chan
Muthia Cenderadewi
Ginenus Fekadu
Bibha Dhungel
Narasimha M. Beeraka
Muhammad Abdul Basit Ashraf
Ildar Ravisovich Fakhradiyev
Rafat Ali
Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani
Niroj Bhandari
Balasubramanian Ganesh
Tauseef Ahmad
Syed Mohamed Aljunid
Biswajit Banik
Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne
Hitesh Chopra
Siddhartha Dutta
Sumbul Ansari
Sajjad Ahmad
An Tian Chen
Anil Raj Assariparambil
Sirshendu Chaudhuri
Arushee Bhatnagar
Mohammed Ahmed Akkaif
Naveed Ahmed
Syed Mohammed Basheeruddin Asdaq
Mohammed Usman Ali
Mainak Bardhan
Ajay Nagesh Bhat
Khabir Ahmad
Sreedhar Dharmagadda
Chiranjib Chakraborty
Yuni Asri
Sridevi G
Artyom Urievich Gil
Amol S. Dhane
Priyadarshini Bhattacharjee
Xueting Ding
Jiyeon Oh
Syed Yusuf Ali
Thao Huynh Phuong Do
Shehab Uddin Al Abid
Tae Hyeon Kim
Sandip Chakraborty
Hyesu Jo
Haiyan Chen
Sunghyun Chung
Ojas Prakashbhai Doshi
Xiang Gao
Kabilan Annadurai
Nurila Aryntayeva
Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani
Samiun Nazrin Bente Kamal Tune
Md Al-Mamun
Aram Mahmood Ahmed
Huyen Phuc Do
Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan Devanbu
Syed Anees Ahmed
Haroon Ahmed
Guodong Ding
MD Faisal Ahmed
Syed Mohamed Aljunid
Zareen Fatima
Nadeem Shafique Butt
Syed Masudur Rahman Dewan
Publication Name: Lancet Respiratory Medicine
Publication Date: 2026-03-01
Volume: 14
Issue: 3
Page Range: 233-255
Description:
Background: Chronic respiratory diseases are an important global issue, particularly in Asia, where burden patterns vary widely across countries. With more than half the world's population living in Asia, understanding the national and regional burden of chronic respiratory diseases is essential; however, research on this area remains inadequate. We aimed to investigate the burden of chronic respiratory diseases in Asia at national and regional levels, and to identify key risk factors. Methods: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2023 provides estimates for assessing the burden of chronic respiratory diseases, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, pneumoconiosis, interstitial lung disease (ILD), and pulmonary sarcoidosis. We focused on 34 countries in Asia, encompassing the high-income Asia Pacific region and central, east, south, and southeast Asia. Estimates for age-standardised prevalence and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates per 100 000 population, including 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs), were extracted by location, sex, year, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). The average annual percentage change was calculated and presented as a percentage with 95% CIs. Estimates of modifiable attributable risk factors for DALYs and mortality were also included. Findings: In Asia, the age-standardised prevalence and DALY rates for chronic respiratory diseases generally declined from 1990 to 2023; however, the trend varied substantially by disease and country. In 2023, the age-standardised prevalence rate of COPD was highest in south Asia (3044·18 [95% UI 2748·67–3303·04] per 100 000 population), while the age-standardised asthma prevalence rate was highest in the high-income Asia Pacific region (4870·24 [4046·70–5962·78] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia (4778·18 [3970·25–5735·61] per 100 000 population). Despite southeast Asia and the high-income Asia Pacific region having a similar age-standardised asthma prevalence rate, southeast Asia had a higher age-standardised DALY rate (508·67 [95% UI 394·89–669·92] per 100 000 population) compared with the high-income Asia Pacific region (204·40 [129·23–290·41] per 100 000 population). A decrease in the age-standardised DALY rate for chronic respiratory diseases was observed with increasing SDI, contrasting with its prevalence patterns. Age-standardised DALY rates of COPD decreased in all Asian countries except for Georgia (average annual percentage change 1·37 [95% CI 1·26–1·48]) and Kazakhstan (0·73 [0·55–0·93]), and age-standardised DALY rates of asthma decreased in all countries. Smoking and ambient particulate matter pollution were identified as leading attributable risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases across Asia. Household air pollution from solid fuels was a regionally pronounced risk factor for chronic respiratory diseases, particularly in south Asia (age-standardised DALY rate 657·58 [95% UI 485·04–880·45] per 100 000 population). Although smoking was a major risk factor in males, ambient particulate matter pollution and secondhand smoke emerged as important attributable risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases in females. Interpretation: Countries with lower SDI had markedly higher DALY rates, highlighting the need to address socioeconomic and health-care inequities. Household air pollution from solid fuels continues to impose a substantial but preventable burden in south Asia, calling for clean energy adoption and improved ventilation. Funding: Gates Foundation.
Open Access: Yes
Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis
Usha Adiga
Samah W. Al-Jabi
Meriem Abdoun
Quique Bassat
Zulfiqar A. Bhutta
Hany Aly
Ashish Bhargava
Hasan Yaser Alniss
Razique Anwer
Abdul Monim Batiha
Asrat Agalu Abejew
Samar Abd ElHafeez
Mahwish Arooj
Matteo Bauckneht
Mohammad R. Alqudimat
Alok Atreya
Abdelazeem M. Algammal
Saeid Anvari
Auwal Abdullahi
Tahira Ashraf
Shereen M. Aleidi
Mohammad R. Alosta
Senthilkumar Balakrishnan
Zarrin Basharat
Montaha Al-Iede
Nasir Abbas
Syed Shujait Ali
Williams Agyemang-Duah
Sahel Majed Alrousan
Lucien R. Swetschinski
Sonu Bhaskar
Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor
Lisa C. Adams
Ahmad Naoras Bitar
Madineh Abbasi
Habib Benzian
Intima Alrimawi
Nicole Davis Weaver
Mohammed Albashtawy
Meshack Achore
Domenico Azzolino
Eve E. Wool
Kamoru Ademola Adedokun
Fahad A. Alhumaydhi
Ahmad Alrawashdeh
Aqeel Ahmad
Simachew Animen Bante
Nelson Alvis-Guzman
Umar Muhammad Bello
Rafat Ali
Kevin S. Ikuta
Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani
Rajon Banik
Amadou Barrow
Mina Borran
Wondu Feyisa Balcha
Chieh Han
Gasha Salih Ahmed
Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi
Alaa Aboelnour Badran
Anna Gershberg Hayoon
Hamed Borhany
Nikha Bhardwaj
Ahmad Rajeh Al-Qudimat
Najim Z. Alshahrani
Fentahun Alemnew
Mesfin Abebe
Md Akib Al-Zubayer
Ema Akter
Ridwan Olamilekan Adesola
Ali Azargoonjahromi
Authia P. Gray
Mahsa Ahadi
Mohammed Usman Ali
Zelalem Asmare
Hana J. Abukhadijah
Alemwork Abie
Amani Alansari
Asnake Gashaw Belayneh
Yaser Mohammed Al-Worafi
Filippos Anagnostakis
Daniel T. Araki
Hassan Abolhassani
Sabah Al-Marwani
Gokce Belge Bilgin
Mohammad Mahdi Bastan
Meqdad Saleh Ahmed
Rebecca L. Hsu
Abiye Assefa Berihun
Erin Chung
Hiba Jawdat Barqawi
Julie Alaere Atta
Nurila Aryntayeva
Wakgari Mosisa Abdisa
Redeat Libanos Assefa
Syed Anees Ahmed
Haroon Ahmed
Sadat Abdulla Aziz
Avinash Aujayeb
Tomislav Mestrovic
Publication Name: Lancet Global Health
Publication Date: 2025-12-01
Volume: 13
Issue: 12
Page Range: e2013-e2026
Description:
Background: The global burden of sepsis, a life-threatening dysregulated host response to infection leading to organ dysfunction, remains challenging to quantify. We aimed to comprehensively estimate the global, regional, and national burden of sepsis, including the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and underlying causes of sepsis-related deaths with co-occurring infectious syndromes. Methods: We used multiple cause-of-death, hospital, minimally invasive tissue sampling, and linked death certificate and hospital record data representing 149 million deaths, covering 4290 location-years with mortality estimates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 to capture explicit and implicit sepsis cases and deaths. We estimated age-location-sex-specific fractions of sepsis-related deaths from 195 underlying causes of death and 22 infectious syndromes from 1990 to 2021 using binomial logistic regression models, and estimated sepsis-related deaths using GBD cause-specific mortality estimates. Using 250 million hospital admissions and 7·82 million deaths from hospital data, representing 1310 location-years, we modelled case fatality rates by use of binomial logistic regression, applied to sepsis death estimates to estimate sepsis incidence by age, location, and year. Findings: In 2021, we estimated 166 million (95% uncertainty interval 135–201) sepsis cases and 21·4 million (20·3–22·5) all-cause sepsis-related deaths globally, representing 31·5% of total global deaths. Sepsis-related deaths decreased between 1990 and 2019, followed by a surge in 2020 and 2021. As of 2021, individuals aged 15 years and older experienced increases across incidence (230%) and mortality (26·3%) since 1990. Those aged 70 years and older had the highest sepsis-related mortality in 2021 (9·28 million [8·74–9·86] deaths). Sepsis-related deaths from infectious underlying causes decreased from 11·8 million (11·1–12·5) in 1990 to 8·34 million (7·72–9·01) in 2019, then increased by 86·4% to 15·5 million (14·7–16·4) in 2021. Sepsis-related mortality due to non-infectious underlying causes of death increased from 4·69 million (4·35–5·05) in 1990 to 5·81 million (5·40–6·25) in 2021; the leading non-infectious underlying causes of death with sepsis were stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and cirrhosis. In 2021, bloodstream infections inclusive of HIV and malaria (3·08 million [2·83–3·35]) and lower respiratory infections inclusive of COVID-19 (11·33 million [1·20–1·47]) were the most prominent infectious syndromes complicating sepsis-related deaths from non-infectious underlying causes, representing a consistent trend since 1990. Interpretation: The global burden of sepsis increased in 2020 and 2021, reversing progress from 1990. Sepsis incidence and mortality increased in people aged 15 years and older, especially those aged 70 years and older, and as a complication of non-infectious underlying causes of death such as stroke, primarily through bloodstream infections and lower respiratory infections. The global burden of sepsis is substantial, and sepsis is increasingly a complication of non-infectious causes of death. Funding: Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and Department of Health and Social Care using UK aid funding managed by the Fleming Fund.
Open Access: Yes