Mahwish Arooj

55599732000

Publications - 3

Burden of chronic respiratory disease in Asia, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Mohammad Fareed Giridhara Rathnaiah Babu Shankar M. Bakkannavar Anurag Agrawal Mahaveer Golechha Jesu Arockiaraj Devananda Devegowda Atif Amin Baig Rupesh K. Gautam Ferry Efendi Mahwish Arooj Vijay Kumar Chattu Ripon Kumar Adhikary Narayan Babu Dhital Anup Bhat Dinh Toi Chu Ashish D. Badiye Tahira Ashraf Ibrahim Elsohaby Saurav Basu Ayesha Fahim Syed Amir Ashraf Jaeyu Park Syed Shujait Ali Sheikh Mohammad Alif Jeetendra Bhandari Arun Ghuge Ahmad Naoras Bitar Mohammad Shahangir Biswas Linh Phuong Bui Bijit Biswas Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan Awais Altaf Zahid A. Butt Danish Ahmad Min Seo Kim Khurshid Alam Jeffrey Shi Kai Chan Muthia Cenderadewi Ginenus Fekadu Bibha Dhungel Narasimha M. Beeraka Muhammad Abdul Basit Ashraf Ildar Ravisovich Fakhradiyev Rafat Ali Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Niroj Bhandari Balasubramanian Ganesh Tauseef Ahmad Syed Mohamed Aljunid Biswajit Banik Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne Hitesh Chopra Siddhartha Dutta Sumbul Ansari Sajjad Ahmad An Tian Chen Anil Raj Assariparambil Sirshendu Chaudhuri Arushee Bhatnagar Mohammed Ahmed Akkaif Naveed Ahmed Syed Mohammed Basheeruddin Asdaq Mohammed Usman Ali Mainak Bardhan Ajay Nagesh Bhat Khabir Ahmad Sreedhar Dharmagadda Chiranjib Chakraborty Yuni Asri Sridevi G Artyom Urievich Gil Amol S. Dhane Priyadarshini Bhattacharjee Xueting Ding Jiyeon Oh Syed Yusuf Ali Thao Huynh Phuong Do Shehab Uddin Al Abid Tae Hyeon Kim Sandip Chakraborty Hyesu Jo Haiyan Chen Sunghyun Chung Ojas Prakashbhai Doshi Xiang Gao Kabilan Annadurai Nurila Aryntayeva Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Samiun Nazrin Bente Kamal Tune Md Al-Mamun Aram Mahmood Ahmed Huyen Phuc Do Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan Devanbu Syed Anees Ahmed Haroon Ahmed Guodong Ding MD Faisal Ahmed Syed Mohamed Aljunid Zareen Fatima Nadeem Shafique Butt Syed Masudur Rahman Dewan

Publication Name: Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Publication Date: 2026-03-01

Volume: 14

Issue: 3

Page Range: 233-255

Description:

Background: Chronic respiratory diseases are an important global issue, particularly in Asia, where burden patterns vary widely across countries. With more than half the world's population living in Asia, understanding the national and regional burden of chronic respiratory diseases is essential; however, research on this area remains inadequate. We aimed to investigate the burden of chronic respiratory diseases in Asia at national and regional levels, and to identify key risk factors. Methods: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2023 provides estimates for assessing the burden of chronic respiratory diseases, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, pneumoconiosis, interstitial lung disease (ILD), and pulmonary sarcoidosis. We focused on 34 countries in Asia, encompassing the high-income Asia Pacific region and central, east, south, and southeast Asia. Estimates for age-standardised prevalence and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates per 100 000 population, including 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs), were extracted by location, sex, year, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). The average annual percentage change was calculated and presented as a percentage with 95% CIs. Estimates of modifiable attributable risk factors for DALYs and mortality were also included. Findings: In Asia, the age-standardised prevalence and DALY rates for chronic respiratory diseases generally declined from 1990 to 2023; however, the trend varied substantially by disease and country. In 2023, the age-standardised prevalence rate of COPD was highest in south Asia (3044·18 [95% UI 2748·67–3303·04] per 100 000 population), while the age-standardised asthma prevalence rate was highest in the high-income Asia Pacific region (4870·24 [4046·70–5962·78] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia (4778·18 [3970·25–5735·61] per 100 000 population). Despite southeast Asia and the high-income Asia Pacific region having a similar age-standardised asthma prevalence rate, southeast Asia had a higher age-standardised DALY rate (508·67 [95% UI 394·89–669·92] per 100 000 population) compared with the high-income Asia Pacific region (204·40 [129·23–290·41] per 100 000 population). A decrease in the age-standardised DALY rate for chronic respiratory diseases was observed with increasing SDI, contrasting with its prevalence patterns. Age-standardised DALY rates of COPD decreased in all Asian countries except for Georgia (average annual percentage change 1·37 [95% CI 1·26–1·48]) and Kazakhstan (0·73 [0·55–0·93]), and age-standardised DALY rates of asthma decreased in all countries. Smoking and ambient particulate matter pollution were identified as leading attributable risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases across Asia. Household air pollution from solid fuels was a regionally pronounced risk factor for chronic respiratory diseases, particularly in south Asia (age-standardised DALY rate 657·58 [95% UI 485·04–880·45] per 100 000 population). Although smoking was a major risk factor in males, ambient particulate matter pollution and secondhand smoke emerged as important attributable risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases in females. Interpretation: Countries with lower SDI had markedly higher DALY rates, highlighting the need to address socioeconomic and health-care inequities. Household air pollution from solid fuels continues to impose a substantial but preventable burden in south Asia, calling for clean energy adoption and improved ventilation. Funding: Gates Foundation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S2213-2600(25)00404-7

Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis

Usha Adiga Samah W. Al-Jabi Meriem Abdoun Quique Bassat Zulfiqar A. Bhutta Hany Aly Ashish Bhargava Hasan Yaser Alniss Razique Anwer Abdul Monim Batiha Asrat Agalu Abejew Samar Abd ElHafeez Mahwish Arooj Matteo Bauckneht Mohammad R. Alqudimat Alok Atreya Abdelazeem M. Algammal Saeid Anvari Auwal Abdullahi Tahira Ashraf Shereen M. Aleidi Mohammad R. Alosta Senthilkumar Balakrishnan Zarrin Basharat Montaha Al-Iede Nasir Abbas Syed Shujait Ali Williams Agyemang-Duah Sahel Majed Alrousan Lucien R. Swetschinski Sonu Bhaskar Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor Lisa C. Adams Ahmad Naoras Bitar Madineh Abbasi Habib Benzian Intima Alrimawi Nicole Davis Weaver Mohammed Albashtawy Meshack Achore Domenico Azzolino Eve E. Wool Kamoru Ademola Adedokun Fahad A. Alhumaydhi Ahmad Alrawashdeh Aqeel Ahmad Simachew Animen Bante Nelson Alvis-Guzman Umar Muhammad Bello Rafat Ali Kevin S. Ikuta Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Rajon Banik Amadou Barrow Mina Borran Wondu Feyisa Balcha Chieh Han Gasha Salih Ahmed Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi Alaa Aboelnour Badran Anna Gershberg Hayoon Hamed Borhany Nikha Bhardwaj Ahmad Rajeh Al-Qudimat Najim Z. Alshahrani Fentahun Alemnew Mesfin Abebe Md Akib Al-Zubayer Ema Akter Ridwan Olamilekan Adesola Ali Azargoonjahromi Authia P. Gray Mahsa Ahadi Mohammed Usman Ali Zelalem Asmare Hana J. Abukhadijah Alemwork Abie Amani Alansari Asnake Gashaw Belayneh Yaser Mohammed Al-Worafi Filippos Anagnostakis Daniel T. Araki Hassan Abolhassani Sabah Al-Marwani Gokce Belge Bilgin Mohammad Mahdi Bastan Meqdad Saleh Ahmed Rebecca L. Hsu Abiye Assefa Berihun Erin Chung Hiba Jawdat Barqawi Julie Alaere Atta Nurila Aryntayeva Wakgari Mosisa Abdisa Redeat Libanos Assefa Syed Anees Ahmed Haroon Ahmed Sadat Abdulla Aziz Avinash Aujayeb Tomislav Mestrovic

Publication Name: Lancet Global Health

Publication Date: 2025-12-01

Volume: 13

Issue: 12

Page Range: e2013-e2026

Description:

Background: The global burden of sepsis, a life-threatening dysregulated host response to infection leading to organ dysfunction, remains challenging to quantify. We aimed to comprehensively estimate the global, regional, and national burden of sepsis, including the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and underlying causes of sepsis-related deaths with co-occurring infectious syndromes. Methods: We used multiple cause-of-death, hospital, minimally invasive tissue sampling, and linked death certificate and hospital record data representing 149 million deaths, covering 4290 location-years with mortality estimates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 to capture explicit and implicit sepsis cases and deaths. We estimated age-location-sex-specific fractions of sepsis-related deaths from 195 underlying causes of death and 22 infectious syndromes from 1990 to 2021 using binomial logistic regression models, and estimated sepsis-related deaths using GBD cause-specific mortality estimates. Using 250 million hospital admissions and 7·82 million deaths from hospital data, representing 1310 location-years, we modelled case fatality rates by use of binomial logistic regression, applied to sepsis death estimates to estimate sepsis incidence by age, location, and year. Findings: In 2021, we estimated 166 million (95% uncertainty interval 135–201) sepsis cases and 21·4 million (20·3–22·5) all-cause sepsis-related deaths globally, representing 31·5% of total global deaths. Sepsis-related deaths decreased between 1990 and 2019, followed by a surge in 2020 and 2021. As of 2021, individuals aged 15 years and older experienced increases across incidence (230%) and mortality (26·3%) since 1990. Those aged 70 years and older had the highest sepsis-related mortality in 2021 (9·28 million [8·74–9·86] deaths). Sepsis-related deaths from infectious underlying causes decreased from 11·8 million (11·1–12·5) in 1990 to 8·34 million (7·72–9·01) in 2019, then increased by 86·4% to 15·5 million (14·7–16·4) in 2021. Sepsis-related mortality due to non-infectious underlying causes of death increased from 4·69 million (4·35–5·05) in 1990 to 5·81 million (5·40–6·25) in 2021; the leading non-infectious underlying causes of death with sepsis were stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and cirrhosis. In 2021, bloodstream infections inclusive of HIV and malaria (3·08 million [2·83–3·35]) and lower respiratory infections inclusive of COVID-19 (11·33 million [1·20–1·47]) were the most prominent infectious syndromes complicating sepsis-related deaths from non-infectious underlying causes, representing a consistent trend since 1990. Interpretation: The global burden of sepsis increased in 2020 and 2021, reversing progress from 1990. Sepsis incidence and mortality increased in people aged 15 years and older, especially those aged 70 years and older, and as a complication of non-infectious underlying causes of death such as stroke, primarily through bloodstream infections and lower respiratory infections. The global burden of sepsis is substantial, and sepsis is increasingly a complication of non-infectious causes of death. Funding: Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and Department of Health and Social Care using UK aid funding managed by the Fleming Fund.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S2214-109X(25)00356-0

Global burden of cancer in children and adolescents aged 0–19 years, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Jasvinder Singh Bhatti Sayeh Ezzikouri Ali Hasanpour- Dehkordi Takeshi Fukumoto Seyyed Shamsadin Athari Hala Rashad Elhabashy Aleksandr Y. Aravkin Paul Narh Doku Dariush Haghmorad Theophilus I. Emeto Adeniyi Francis Fagbamigbe Nermin Ghith Anis Ahmad Chaudhary Mahwish Arooj Hamidreza Hasani Robert Kaba Alhassan Salahdein Aburuz Lucas Guimarães Abreu Saeid Anvari Muhammad Sohail Afzal Jonathan M. Kocarnik Mosab Arafat Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan Hanadi Al Hamad Ayesha Fahim Mohammad Farahmand Lisa M. Force Adewale Oluwaseun Fadaka Nadia M. Hamdy Demelash Areda Veer Bala Gupta Maha Moh'd Wahbi Atout Natalie Pritchett Souad Bouaoud Ayman Ahmed Aso Mohammad Darwesh Cem Bilgin Dong Woo Choi Wafa A. Aldhaleei Awais Altaf Ferrán Catalá-López Danish Ahmad Bashir Dabo Rakhi Dandona Mohammed Albashtawy Mohamed Abouzid Omotayo Francis Fagbule Shirin Barati Soham Bandyopadhyay Ahmed Y. Azzam Abdulfatai Aremu Teferi Gebru Gebremeskel Arvin Haj-Mirzaian Catherine Bisignano Aragaw Tesfaw Desale Benedetta Armocida Hasan Aalruz Kayleigh Bhangdia Isaac Sunday Chukwu Md Kamrul Hasan Promit Ananyo Chakraborty Louise Penberthy Maryam Bemanalizadeh Robert Kokou Dowou Giulia Carreras Xiaochen Dai Maysaa El Sayed Zaki Johannes Haubold Mohammad Asghari-Jafarabadi Fatemeh Afrashteh John Dube Ali Hasanpour- Dehkordi Shahkaar Aziz Logan M. Glasstetter Genanew K. Getahun Sri Harsha Boppana Alistair Acheson Chiranjib Chakraborty Saroja Devi Geetha Razieh Bahreini Yohannes Habtegiorgis Abate Sabah Al-Marwani Mohammad Mahdi Bastan Samuel Demissie Darcho Thao Huynh Phuong Do Miglas Welay Gebregergis Lee Deitesfeld Abdel Rahman E'mar Mohammed Elshaer Lemessa Assefa A. Ayana Chadi Eltaha Awoke Derbie Habteyohannes Abid Ali Safwat Aly Nguyen Hoang Anh Andrew Crist Miranda L. May Maha Moh d.Wahbi Atout Hasan Aalruz Syed Anees Ahmed Demelash Areda Lalit Dandona Karem H. Alzoubi Yasser Bustanji

Publication Name: Lancet

Publication Date: 2026-04-04

Volume: 407

Issue: 10536

Page Range: 1360-1373

Description:

Background Information on childhood cancer burden is crucial for effective cancer policy planning. Unfortunately, observed paediatric cancer data are not available in every country, and previous global burden estimates have not discretely reported several common cancers of childhood. We aimed to inform efforts to address childhood cancer burden globally by analysing results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023, which now include nine additional cancer causes compared with previous GBD analyses. Methods GBD 2023 data sources for cancer estimation included population-based cancer registries, vital registration systems, and verbal autopsies. For childhood cancers (defined as those occurring at ages 0–19 years), mortality was estimated using cancer-specific ensemble models and incidence was estimated using mortality estimates and modelled mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs). Years of life lost (YLLs) were estimated by multiplying age-specific cancer deaths by the standard life expectancy at the age of death. Prevalence was estimated using survival estimates modelled from MIRs and multiplied by sequelae-specific disability weights to estimate years lived with disability (YLDs). Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were estimated as the sum of YLLs and YLDs. Estimates are presented globally and by geographical and resource groupings, and all estimates are presented with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Findings Globally, in 2023, there were an estimated 377 000 incident childhood cancer cases (95% UI 288 000–489 000), 144 000 deaths (131 000–162 000), and 11·7 million (10·7–13·2) DALYs due to childhood cancer. Deaths due to childhood cancer decreased by 27·0% (15·5–36·1) globally, from 197 000 (173 000–218 000) in 1990, but increased in the WHO African region by 55·6% (25·5–92·4), from 31 500 (24 900–38 500) to 49 000 (42 600–58 200) between 1990 and 2023. In 2023, age-standardised YLLs due to childhood cancer were inversely correlated with country-level Socio-demographic Index. Childhood cancer was the eighth-leading cause of childhood deaths and the ninth-leading cause of DALYs among all cancers in 2023. The percentage of DALYs due to uncategorised childhood cancers was reduced from 26·5% (26·5–26·5) in GBD 2017 to 10·5% (8·1–13·1) with the addition of the nine new cancer causes. Target cancers for the WHO Global Initiative for Childhood Cancer (GICC) comprised 47·3% (42·2–52·0) of global childhood cancer deaths in 2023. Interpretation Global childhood cancer burden remains a substantial contributor to global childhood disease and cancer burden and is disproportionately weighted towards resource-limited settings. The estimation of additional cancer types relevant in childhood provides a step towards alignment with WHO GICC targets. Efforts to decrease global childhood cancer burden should focus on addressing the inequities in burden worldwide and support comprehensive improvements along the childhood cancer diagnosis and care continuum. Funding St Jude Children's Research Hospital, Gates Foundation, and St Baldrick's Foundation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(26)00200-X