MD Faisal Ahmed

60435872600

Publications - 2

Burden of chronic respiratory disease in Asia, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Mohammad Fareed Giridhara Rathnaiah Babu Shankar M. Bakkannavar Anurag Agrawal Mahaveer Golechha Jesu Arockiaraj Devananda Devegowda Atif Amin Baig Rupesh K. Gautam Ferry Efendi Mahwish Arooj Vijay Kumar Chattu Ripon Kumar Adhikary Narayan Babu Dhital Anup Bhat Dinh Toi Chu Ashish D. Badiye Tahira Ashraf Ibrahim Elsohaby Saurav Basu Ayesha Fahim Syed Amir Ashraf Jaeyu Park Syed Shujait Ali Sheikh Mohammad Alif Jeetendra Bhandari Arun Ghuge Ahmad Naoras Bitar Mohammad Shahangir Biswas Linh Phuong Bui Bijit Biswas Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan Awais Altaf Zahid A. Butt Danish Ahmad Min Seo Kim Khurshid Alam Jeffrey Shi Kai Chan Muthia Cenderadewi Ginenus Fekadu Bibha Dhungel Narasimha M. Beeraka Muhammad Abdul Basit Ashraf Ildar Ravisovich Fakhradiyev Rafat Ali Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Niroj Bhandari Balasubramanian Ganesh Tauseef Ahmad Syed Mohamed Aljunid Biswajit Banik Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne Hitesh Chopra Siddhartha Dutta Sumbul Ansari Sajjad Ahmad An Tian Chen Anil Raj Assariparambil Sirshendu Chaudhuri Arushee Bhatnagar Mohammed Ahmed Akkaif Naveed Ahmed Syed Mohammed Basheeruddin Asdaq Mohammed Usman Ali Mainak Bardhan Ajay Nagesh Bhat Khabir Ahmad Sreedhar Dharmagadda Chiranjib Chakraborty Yuni Asri Sridevi G Artyom Urievich Gil Amol S. Dhane Priyadarshini Bhattacharjee Xueting Ding Jiyeon Oh Syed Yusuf Ali Thao Huynh Phuong Do Shehab Uddin Al Abid Tae Hyeon Kim Sandip Chakraborty Hyesu Jo Haiyan Chen Sunghyun Chung Ojas Prakashbhai Doshi Xiang Gao Kabilan Annadurai Nurila Aryntayeva Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Samiun Nazrin Bente Kamal Tune Md Al-Mamun Aram Mahmood Ahmed Huyen Phuc Do Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan Devanbu Syed Anees Ahmed Haroon Ahmed Guodong Ding MD Faisal Ahmed Syed Mohamed Aljunid Zareen Fatima Nadeem Shafique Butt Syed Masudur Rahman Dewan

Publication Name: Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Publication Date: 2026-03-01

Volume: 14

Issue: 3

Page Range: 233-255

Description:

Background: Chronic respiratory diseases are an important global issue, particularly in Asia, where burden patterns vary widely across countries. With more than half the world's population living in Asia, understanding the national and regional burden of chronic respiratory diseases is essential; however, research on this area remains inadequate. We aimed to investigate the burden of chronic respiratory diseases in Asia at national and regional levels, and to identify key risk factors. Methods: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2023 provides estimates for assessing the burden of chronic respiratory diseases, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, pneumoconiosis, interstitial lung disease (ILD), and pulmonary sarcoidosis. We focused on 34 countries in Asia, encompassing the high-income Asia Pacific region and central, east, south, and southeast Asia. Estimates for age-standardised prevalence and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates per 100 000 population, including 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs), were extracted by location, sex, year, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). The average annual percentage change was calculated and presented as a percentage with 95% CIs. Estimates of modifiable attributable risk factors for DALYs and mortality were also included. Findings: In Asia, the age-standardised prevalence and DALY rates for chronic respiratory diseases generally declined from 1990 to 2023; however, the trend varied substantially by disease and country. In 2023, the age-standardised prevalence rate of COPD was highest in south Asia (3044·18 [95% UI 2748·67–3303·04] per 100 000 population), while the age-standardised asthma prevalence rate was highest in the high-income Asia Pacific region (4870·24 [4046·70–5962·78] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia (4778·18 [3970·25–5735·61] per 100 000 population). Despite southeast Asia and the high-income Asia Pacific region having a similar age-standardised asthma prevalence rate, southeast Asia had a higher age-standardised DALY rate (508·67 [95% UI 394·89–669·92] per 100 000 population) compared with the high-income Asia Pacific region (204·40 [129·23–290·41] per 100 000 population). A decrease in the age-standardised DALY rate for chronic respiratory diseases was observed with increasing SDI, contrasting with its prevalence patterns. Age-standardised DALY rates of COPD decreased in all Asian countries except for Georgia (average annual percentage change 1·37 [95% CI 1·26–1·48]) and Kazakhstan (0·73 [0·55–0·93]), and age-standardised DALY rates of asthma decreased in all countries. Smoking and ambient particulate matter pollution were identified as leading attributable risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases across Asia. Household air pollution from solid fuels was a regionally pronounced risk factor for chronic respiratory diseases, particularly in south Asia (age-standardised DALY rate 657·58 [95% UI 485·04–880·45] per 100 000 population). Although smoking was a major risk factor in males, ambient particulate matter pollution and secondhand smoke emerged as important attributable risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases in females. Interpretation: Countries with lower SDI had markedly higher DALY rates, highlighting the need to address socioeconomic and health-care inequities. Household air pollution from solid fuels continues to impose a substantial but preventable burden in south Asia, calling for clean energy adoption and improved ventilation. Funding: Gates Foundation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S2213-2600(25)00404-7

Global, regional, and national burden of breast cancer among females, 1990–2023, with forecasts to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Usha Adiga Meriem Abdoun Eman Abu-Gharbieh Anisuddin Ahmed Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab Roland Eghoghosoa Akhigbe Marjan Ajami Mohd Adnan Victor Adekanmbi Mehrandokht Abedini Reda Abdel-Hameed Samar Abd ElHafeez Rabail Alam Muhammad Sohail Afzal Jonathan M. Kocarnik Auwal Abdullahi Ukachukwu O. Abaraogu Khurshid Ahmad Rana Kamal Abu Farha Isaac Yeboah Addo Bilyaminu Abubakar Juan Manuel Acuna Nasir Abbas Hanadi Al Hamad César Agostinis Sobrinho Habeeb Omoponle Adewuyi Swetha Acharya Williams Agyemang-Duah Lisa C. Adams Fuad Hamdi A. Abuadas Dagninet Derebe Abie Ali Ahmadi Yazan Al Thaher Bright Opoku Ahinkorah Natalie Pritchett Nurudeen A. Adegoke Ayman Ahmed Deldar Morad Abdulah Kedir Hussein Abegaz Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan Mohammad Al Qadire Danish Ahmad Mohammed Albashtawy Feleke Doyore Agide Babatope Oluwadamilare Adebiyi Armita Abedi Dina Abushanab David Adedia Muktar Beshir Ahmed Kamoru Ademola Adedokun A. Bhoomadevi Muayyad M. Ahmad Aqeel Ahmad Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Miracle Ayomikun Adesina Domenico Albano Ulric Sena Abonie Mai Abdel Haleem Abusalah Hasan Aalruz Kayleigh Bhangdia Temitayo Esther Adeyeoluwa Gasha Salih Ahmed Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi Louise Penberthy Richard Gyan Aboagye Mesfin Abebe Mahnaz Ahmadi Hazim S. Ababneh Zhanar Abu Toufik Abdul-Rahman Naveed Ahmed Hana J. Abukhadijah Leticia Akua Adzigbli Alistair Acheson Alemwork Abie Mehrunnisha Sharif Ahmed Hassan Abolhassani Arash Abdollahi Dolapo Emmanuel Ajala Saheed Ayodeji Adekola Aminu Kende Abubakar Abebaw Alamrew Lee Deitesfeld Austin J. Ahlstrom Meqdad Saleh Ahmed None Abdullah Mohammed Mehdi Abrar Mohammad Ahmmad Mahmoud Al Zoubi Kulmira Abdykerimova Andrew Crist Miranda L. May Aram Mahmood Ahmed Sepideh Abdi Hasan Aalruz Syed Anees Ahmed Haroon Ahmed Zhanar Abu MD Faisal Ahmed Bhoomadevi A Salah Al Awaidy Wael M. Abdel-Rahman Olumide Abiodun Muhammad Nadeem Akhtar

Publication Name: Lancet Oncology

Publication Date: 2026-03-01

Volume: 27

Issue: 3

Page Range: 302-326

Description:

Background Breast cancer is a leading cause of mortality and morbidity among females worldwide. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023, we provided an updated comprehensive assessment of the epidemiological trends, disease burden, and risk factors associated with breast cancer globally, regionally, and nationally from 1990 to 2023. Methods Breast cancer incidence, mortality, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were estimated by age and sex for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023. Mortality estimates were generated using GBD Cause of Death Ensemble models, leveraging data from population-based cancer registration systems, vital registration systems, and verbal autopsies. Mortality-to-incidence ratios were calculated to derive both mortality and incidence estimates. Prevalence was calculated by combining incidence and modelled survival estimates. YLLs were established by multiplying age-specific deaths with the GBD standard life expectancy at the age of death. YLDs were estimated by applying disability weights to prevalence estimates. The sum of YLLs and YLDs equalled the number of DALYs. Breast cancer burden attributable to seven risk factors was examined through the comparative risk assessment framework. The GBD forecasting framework was used to forecast breast cancer incidence and mortality from 2024 to 2050. Age-standardised rates were calculated for each metric using the GBD 2023 world standard population. Findings In 2023, there were an estimated 2·30 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 2·01 to 2·61) breast cancer incident cases, 764 000 deaths (672 000 to 854 000), and 24·1 million (21·3 to 27·5) DALYs among females globally. In the World Bank low-income group, where a low age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) was estimated (44·2 per 100 000 person-years [31·2 to 58·4]), the age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) was the highest (24·1 per 100 000 [16·8 to 31·9]). The highest ASIR was in the high-income group (75·7 per 100 000 [67·1 to 84·0]), and the lowest ASMR was in the upper-middle-income group (11·2 per 100 000 [10·2 to 12·3]). Between 1990 and 2023, the ASIR in the low-income group increased by 147·2% (38·1 to 271·7), compared with a 1·2% (–11·5 to 17·2) change in the high-income group. The ASMR decreased in the high-income group, changing by –29·9% (–33·6 to –25·9), but increased by 99·3% (12·5 to 202·9) in the low-income group. The increase in age-standardised DALY rates followed that of ASMRs. Risk factors such as dietary risks, tobacco use, and high fasting plasma glucose contributed to 28·3% (16·6 to 38·9) of breast cancer DALYs in 2023. The risk factors with a decrease in attributable DALYs between 1990 and 2023 were high alcohol use and tobacco. By 2050, the global incident cases of breast cancer among females were forecast to reach 3·56 million (2·29 to 4·83), with 1·37 million (0·841 to 2·02) deaths. Interpretation The stable incidence and declining mortality rates of female breast cancer in high-income nations reflect success in screening, diagnosis, and treatment. In contrast, the concurrent rise in incidence and mortality in other regions signals health system deficits. Without effective interventions, many countries will fall short of the WHO Global Breast Cancer Initiative's ambitious target of achieving an annual reduction of 2·5% in age-standardised mortality rates by 2040. The mounting breast cancer burden, disproportionately affecting some of the world's most vulnerable populations, will further exacerbate health inequalities across the globe without decisive immediate action. Funding Gates Foundation, St Jude Children's Research Hospital.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S1470-2045(25)00730-2