MD Faisal Ahmed
60435872600
Publications - 2
Burden of chronic respiratory disease in Asia, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023
Mohammad Fareed
Giridhara Rathnaiah Babu
Shankar M. Bakkannavar
Anurag Agrawal
Mahaveer Golechha
Jesu Arockiaraj
Devananda Devegowda
Atif Amin Baig
Rupesh K. Gautam
Ferry Efendi
Mahwish Arooj
Vijay Kumar Chattu
Ripon Kumar Adhikary
Narayan Babu Dhital
Anup Bhat
Dinh Toi Chu
Ashish D. Badiye
Tahira Ashraf
Ibrahim Elsohaby
Saurav Basu
Ayesha Fahim
Syed Amir Ashraf
Jaeyu Park
Syed Shujait Ali
Sheikh Mohammad Alif
Jeetendra Bhandari
Arun Ghuge
Ahmad Naoras Bitar
Mohammad Shahangir Biswas
Linh Phuong Bui
Bijit Biswas
Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan
Awais Altaf
Zahid A. Butt
Danish Ahmad
Min Seo Kim
Khurshid Alam
Jeffrey Shi Kai Chan
Muthia Cenderadewi
Ginenus Fekadu
Bibha Dhungel
Narasimha M. Beeraka
Muhammad Abdul Basit Ashraf
Ildar Ravisovich Fakhradiyev
Rafat Ali
Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani
Niroj Bhandari
Balasubramanian Ganesh
Tauseef Ahmad
Syed Mohamed Aljunid
Biswajit Banik
Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne
Hitesh Chopra
Siddhartha Dutta
Sumbul Ansari
Sajjad Ahmad
An Tian Chen
Anil Raj Assariparambil
Sirshendu Chaudhuri
Arushee Bhatnagar
Mohammed Ahmed Akkaif
Naveed Ahmed
Syed Mohammed Basheeruddin Asdaq
Mohammed Usman Ali
Mainak Bardhan
Ajay Nagesh Bhat
Khabir Ahmad
Sreedhar Dharmagadda
Chiranjib Chakraborty
Yuni Asri
Sridevi G
Artyom Urievich Gil
Amol S. Dhane
Priyadarshini Bhattacharjee
Xueting Ding
Jiyeon Oh
Syed Yusuf Ali
Thao Huynh Phuong Do
Shehab Uddin Al Abid
Tae Hyeon Kim
Sandip Chakraborty
Hyesu Jo
Haiyan Chen
Sunghyun Chung
Ojas Prakashbhai Doshi
Xiang Gao
Kabilan Annadurai
Nurila Aryntayeva
Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani
Samiun Nazrin Bente Kamal Tune
Md Al-Mamun
Aram Mahmood Ahmed
Huyen Phuc Do
Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan Devanbu
Syed Anees Ahmed
Haroon Ahmed
Guodong Ding
MD Faisal Ahmed
Syed Mohamed Aljunid
Zareen Fatima
Nadeem Shafique Butt
Syed Masudur Rahman Dewan
Publication Name: Lancet Respiratory Medicine
Publication Date: 2026-03-01
Volume: 14
Issue: 3
Page Range: 233-255
Description:
Background: Chronic respiratory diseases are an important global issue, particularly in Asia, where burden patterns vary widely across countries. With more than half the world's population living in Asia, understanding the national and regional burden of chronic respiratory diseases is essential; however, research on this area remains inadequate. We aimed to investigate the burden of chronic respiratory diseases in Asia at national and regional levels, and to identify key risk factors. Methods: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2023 provides estimates for assessing the burden of chronic respiratory diseases, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, pneumoconiosis, interstitial lung disease (ILD), and pulmonary sarcoidosis. We focused on 34 countries in Asia, encompassing the high-income Asia Pacific region and central, east, south, and southeast Asia. Estimates for age-standardised prevalence and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates per 100 000 population, including 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs), were extracted by location, sex, year, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). The average annual percentage change was calculated and presented as a percentage with 95% CIs. Estimates of modifiable attributable risk factors for DALYs and mortality were also included. Findings: In Asia, the age-standardised prevalence and DALY rates for chronic respiratory diseases generally declined from 1990 to 2023; however, the trend varied substantially by disease and country. In 2023, the age-standardised prevalence rate of COPD was highest in south Asia (3044·18 [95% UI 2748·67–3303·04] per 100 000 population), while the age-standardised asthma prevalence rate was highest in the high-income Asia Pacific region (4870·24 [4046·70–5962·78] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia (4778·18 [3970·25–5735·61] per 100 000 population). Despite southeast Asia and the high-income Asia Pacific region having a similar age-standardised asthma prevalence rate, southeast Asia had a higher age-standardised DALY rate (508·67 [95% UI 394·89–669·92] per 100 000 population) compared with the high-income Asia Pacific region (204·40 [129·23–290·41] per 100 000 population). A decrease in the age-standardised DALY rate for chronic respiratory diseases was observed with increasing SDI, contrasting with its prevalence patterns. Age-standardised DALY rates of COPD decreased in all Asian countries except for Georgia (average annual percentage change 1·37 [95% CI 1·26–1·48]) and Kazakhstan (0·73 [0·55–0·93]), and age-standardised DALY rates of asthma decreased in all countries. Smoking and ambient particulate matter pollution were identified as leading attributable risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases across Asia. Household air pollution from solid fuels was a regionally pronounced risk factor for chronic respiratory diseases, particularly in south Asia (age-standardised DALY rate 657·58 [95% UI 485·04–880·45] per 100 000 population). Although smoking was a major risk factor in males, ambient particulate matter pollution and secondhand smoke emerged as important attributable risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases in females. Interpretation: Countries with lower SDI had markedly higher DALY rates, highlighting the need to address socioeconomic and health-care inequities. Household air pollution from solid fuels continues to impose a substantial but preventable burden in south Asia, calling for clean energy adoption and improved ventilation. Funding: Gates Foundation.
Open Access: Yes
Global, regional, and national burden of breast cancer among females, 1990–2023, with forecasts to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023
Usha Adiga
Meriem Abdoun
Eman Abu-Gharbieh
Anisuddin Ahmed
Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab
Roland Eghoghosoa Akhigbe
Marjan Ajami
Mohd Adnan
Victor Adekanmbi
Mehrandokht Abedini
Reda Abdel-Hameed
Samar Abd ElHafeez
Rabail Alam
Muhammad Sohail Afzal
Jonathan M. Kocarnik
Auwal Abdullahi
Ukachukwu O. Abaraogu
Khurshid Ahmad
Rana Kamal Abu Farha
Isaac Yeboah Addo
Bilyaminu Abubakar
Juan Manuel Acuna
Nasir Abbas
Hanadi Al Hamad
César Agostinis Sobrinho
Habeeb Omoponle Adewuyi
Swetha Acharya
Williams Agyemang-Duah
Lisa C. Adams
Fuad Hamdi A. Abuadas
Dagninet Derebe Abie
Ali Ahmadi
Yazan Al Thaher
Bright Opoku Ahinkorah
Natalie Pritchett
Nurudeen A. Adegoke
Ayman Ahmed
Deldar Morad Abdulah
Kedir Hussein Abegaz
Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan
Mohammad Al Qadire
Danish Ahmad
Mohammed Albashtawy
Feleke Doyore Agide
Babatope Oluwadamilare Adebiyi
Armita Abedi
Dina Abushanab
David Adedia
Muktar Beshir Ahmed
Kamoru Ademola Adedokun
A. Bhoomadevi
Muayyad M. Ahmad
Aqeel Ahmad
Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani
Miracle Ayomikun Adesina
Domenico Albano
Ulric Sena Abonie
Mai Abdel Haleem Abusalah
Hasan Aalruz
Kayleigh Bhangdia
Temitayo Esther Adeyeoluwa
Gasha Salih Ahmed
Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi
Louise Penberthy
Richard Gyan Aboagye
Mesfin Abebe
Mahnaz Ahmadi
Hazim S. Ababneh
Zhanar Abu
Toufik Abdul-Rahman
Naveed Ahmed
Hana J. Abukhadijah
Leticia Akua Adzigbli
Alistair Acheson
Alemwork Abie
Mehrunnisha Sharif Ahmed
Hassan Abolhassani
Arash Abdollahi
Dolapo Emmanuel Ajala
Saheed Ayodeji Adekola
Aminu Kende Abubakar
Abebaw Alamrew
Lee Deitesfeld
Austin J. Ahlstrom
Meqdad Saleh Ahmed
None Abdullah
Mohammed Mehdi Abrar
Mohammad Ahmmad Mahmoud Al Zoubi
Kulmira Abdykerimova
Andrew Crist
Miranda L. May
Aram Mahmood Ahmed
Sepideh Abdi
Hasan Aalruz
Syed Anees Ahmed
Haroon Ahmed
Zhanar Abu
MD Faisal Ahmed
Bhoomadevi A
Salah Al Awaidy
Wael M. Abdel-Rahman
Olumide Abiodun
Muhammad Nadeem Akhtar
Publication Name: Lancet Oncology
Publication Date: 2026-03-01
Volume: 27
Issue: 3
Page Range: 302-326
Description:
Background Breast cancer is a leading cause of mortality and morbidity among females worldwide. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2023, we provided an updated comprehensive assessment of the epidemiological trends, disease burden, and risk factors associated with breast cancer globally, regionally, and nationally from 1990 to 2023. Methods Breast cancer incidence, mortality, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were estimated by age and sex for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023. Mortality estimates were generated using GBD Cause of Death Ensemble models, leveraging data from population-based cancer registration systems, vital registration systems, and verbal autopsies. Mortality-to-incidence ratios were calculated to derive both mortality and incidence estimates. Prevalence was calculated by combining incidence and modelled survival estimates. YLLs were established by multiplying age-specific deaths with the GBD standard life expectancy at the age of death. YLDs were estimated by applying disability weights to prevalence estimates. The sum of YLLs and YLDs equalled the number of DALYs. Breast cancer burden attributable to seven risk factors was examined through the comparative risk assessment framework. The GBD forecasting framework was used to forecast breast cancer incidence and mortality from 2024 to 2050. Age-standardised rates were calculated for each metric using the GBD 2023 world standard population. Findings In 2023, there were an estimated 2·30 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 2·01 to 2·61) breast cancer incident cases, 764 000 deaths (672 000 to 854 000), and 24·1 million (21·3 to 27·5) DALYs among females globally. In the World Bank low-income group, where a low age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) was estimated (44·2 per 100 000 person-years [31·2 to 58·4]), the age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) was the highest (24·1 per 100 000 [16·8 to 31·9]). The highest ASIR was in the high-income group (75·7 per 100 000 [67·1 to 84·0]), and the lowest ASMR was in the upper-middle-income group (11·2 per 100 000 [10·2 to 12·3]). Between 1990 and 2023, the ASIR in the low-income group increased by 147·2% (38·1 to 271·7), compared with a 1·2% (–11·5 to 17·2) change in the high-income group. The ASMR decreased in the high-income group, changing by –29·9% (–33·6 to –25·9), but increased by 99·3% (12·5 to 202·9) in the low-income group. The increase in age-standardised DALY rates followed that of ASMRs. Risk factors such as dietary risks, tobacco use, and high fasting plasma glucose contributed to 28·3% (16·6 to 38·9) of breast cancer DALYs in 2023. The risk factors with a decrease in attributable DALYs between 1990 and 2023 were high alcohol use and tobacco. By 2050, the global incident cases of breast cancer among females were forecast to reach 3·56 million (2·29 to 4·83), with 1·37 million (0·841 to 2·02) deaths. Interpretation The stable incidence and declining mortality rates of female breast cancer in high-income nations reflect success in screening, diagnosis, and treatment. In contrast, the concurrent rise in incidence and mortality in other regions signals health system deficits. Without effective interventions, many countries will fall short of the WHO Global Breast Cancer Initiative's ambitious target of achieving an annual reduction of 2·5% in age-standardised mortality rates by 2040. The mounting breast cancer burden, disproportionately affecting some of the world's most vulnerable populations, will further exacerbate health inequalities across the globe without decisive immediate action. Funding Gates Foundation, St Jude Children's Research Hospital.
Open Access: Yes