Wondu Feyisa Balcha

57218271765

Publications - 2

Disease burden attributable to intimate partner violence against females and sexual violence against children in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Amani Alansari Rana Kamal Abu Farha Haroon Ahmed Muayyad M. Ahmad Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi Kamoru Ademola Adedokun Nurudeen A. Adegoke Lisa C. Adams Armita Abedi Mesfin Abebe Hubert Amu Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor Aqeel Ahmad Williams Agyemang-Duah Mohmmad Minwer Alnaeem Muhammad Sohail Afzal Danish Ahmad Alemwork Abie Rotimi Felix Afolabi Saira Afzal Seyyed Shamsadin Athari Samar Abd ElHafeez Mehrunnisha Sharif Ahmed Ayman Ahmed Meriem Abdoun Zufishan Alam Lucas Guimarães Abreu Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Bright Opoku Ahinkorah Haroon Ahmed Bilyaminu Abubakar Sawsan Abuhammad Meshack Achore Roberto Ariel Abeldaño Zuñiga Asma Ahmed Hasan Aalruz Olumide Abiodun Richard Gyan Aboagye Habeeb Omoponle Adewuyi Leticia Akua Adzigbli M. D.Abu Bashar Shahid Bashir Mohammad Mahdi Bastan Oluwatobi E. Adegbile Olumide Thomas Adeleke Miracle Ayomikun Adesina Hasan Aalruz Aleksandr Y. Aravkin Roberto Ariel Abeldaño Zuñiga Melaku Birhanu Alemu Hamid Alinejad Rokny Md Al-Mamun Joseph Uy Almazan Mohmmad Minwer Alnaeem Mohammad Sharif Ibrahim Alyahya Tarek Tawfik Amin Saeed Amini Sohrab Amiri Luisa S. Flor Jimoh Amzat Cory N. Spencer Jack Cagney Montaha Al-Iede Intima Alrimawi Saeid Anvari David B. Anderson Tahira Ashraf Boluwatife Stephen Anuoluwa Julie Alaere Atta Wondu Feyisa Balcha Gabriela Fernanda Gil Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab Yonas Abebe Babatope Oluwadamilare Adebiyi Jorge Arias de la Torre Benedetta Armocida Alejandra Arrieta Deepavalli Arumuganainar Shereen M. Aleidi Makinde Adebayo Adeniyi Fadwa Naji Alhalaiqa Oli Ahmed Bilal Aslam Prince Atorkey Elizabeth Oluwatoyin Akin-Odanye Wole Akosile Idorenyin Ubon Akpabio Rasmieh Mustafa Al-Amer Turki M. Alanzi Asma Ahmed Sachin R. Atre Abadi Hailay Atsbaha Madhu Sudhan Atteraya Ahmed Y. Azzam B. Sheeba Khlood K. Baghlaf Atif Amin Baig Jose Balmori-de-la-Miyar Soham Bandyopadhyay Manish Barik Suzanne Lyn Barker-Collo Wesam Taher Almagharbeh Azadeh Bashiri Najim Z. Alshahrani Yuni Asri Asma Ahmed

Publication Name: Lancet

Publication Date: 2026-01-03

Volume: 407

Issue: 10523

Page Range: 31-52

Description:

Background Violence against women and against children are human rights violations with lasting harms to survivors and societies at large. Intimate partner violence (IPV) and sexual violence against children (SVAC) are two major forms of such abuse. Despite their wide-reaching effects on individual and community health, these risk factors have not been adequately prioritised as key drivers of global health burden. Comprehensive x§and reliable estimates of the comparative health burden of IPV and SVAC are urgently needed to inform investments in prevention and support for survivors at both national and global levels. Methods We estimated the prevalence and attributable burden of IPV among females and SVAC among males and females for 204 countries and territories, by age and sex, from 1990 to 2023, as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2023. We searched several global databases for data on self-reported exposure to IPV and SVAC and undertook a systematic review to identify the health outcomes associated with each of these risk factors. We modelled IPV and SVAC prevalence using spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression, applying data adjustments to account for measurement heterogeneity. We employed burden-of-proof methodology to estimate relative risks for outcomes associated with IPV and SVAC. These estimates informed the calculation of population attributable fractions, which were then used to quantify disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) attributable to each risk factor. Findings Globally, in 2023, we estimated that 608 million (95% uncertainty interval 518–724) females aged 15 years and older had ever been exposed to IPV, and 1·01 billion (0·764–1·48) individuals aged 15 years and older had experienced sexual violence during childhood. 18·5 million (8·74–30·0) DALYs were attributed to IPV among females and 32·2 million (16·4–52·5) DALYs were attributed to SVAC among males and females in 2023. IPV and SVAC were among the top contributors to the global disease burden in 2023, particularly among females aged 15–49 years, ranking as the fourth and fifth leading risk factors, respectively, for DALYs in this group. Among the eight health outcomes found to be associated with IPV, anxiety disorders and major depressive disorder were the leading causes of IPV-attributed DALYs, accounting for 5·43 million (–1·25 to 14·6) and 3·96 million (1·71 to 6·92) DALYs in 2023, respectively. SVAC was associated with 14 health outcomes, including mental health disorder, substance use disorder, and chronic and infectious disease outcomes. Self-harm and schizophrenia were the leading causes of SVAC-attributed burden, with SVAC accounting for 6·71 million (2·00 to 12·7) DALYs due to self-harm and 4·15 million (–1·92 to 13·1) DALYs due to schizophrenia in 2023. Interpretation IPV and SVAC are substantial contributors to global health burden, and their health consequences span a variety of individual health outcomes. Importantly, mental health disorders account for the greatest share of disease burden among survivors. Investing in prevention of these avoidable risk factors has the potential to avert millions of DALYs and considerable premature mortality each year. Our findings represent strong evidence for global and national leaders to elevate IPV and SVAC among public health priorities. Sustained investments are needed to prevent IPV and SVAC and to implement interventions focused on supporting the complex social and health needs of survivors. Funding Gates Foundation.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)02503-6

Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis

Usha Adiga Samah W. Al-Jabi Meriem Abdoun Quique Bassat Zulfiqar A. Bhutta Hany Aly Ashish Bhargava Hasan Yaser Alniss Razique Anwer Abdul Monim Batiha Asrat Agalu Abejew Samar Abd ElHafeez Mahwish Arooj Matteo Bauckneht Mohammad R. Alqudimat Alok Atreya Abdelazeem M. Algammal Saeid Anvari Auwal Abdullahi Tahira Ashraf Shereen M. Aleidi Mohammad R. Alosta Senthilkumar Balakrishnan Zarrin Basharat Montaha Al-Iede Nasir Abbas Syed Shujait Ali Williams Agyemang-Duah Sahel Majed Alrousan Lucien R. Swetschinski Sonu Bhaskar Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor Lisa C. Adams Ahmad Naoras Bitar Madineh Abbasi Habib Benzian Intima Alrimawi Nicole Davis Weaver Mohammed Albashtawy Meshack Achore Domenico Azzolino Eve E. Wool Kamoru Ademola Adedokun Fahad A. Alhumaydhi Ahmad Alrawashdeh Aqeel Ahmad Simachew Animen Bante Nelson Alvis-Guzman Umar Muhammad Bello Rafat Ali Kevin S. Ikuta Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Rajon Banik Amadou Barrow Mina Borran Wondu Feyisa Balcha Chieh Han Gasha Salih Ahmed Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi Alaa Aboelnour Badran Anna Gershberg Hayoon Hamed Borhany Nikha Bhardwaj Ahmad Rajeh Al-Qudimat Najim Z. Alshahrani Fentahun Alemnew Mesfin Abebe Md Akib Al-Zubayer Ema Akter Ridwan Olamilekan Adesola Ali Azargoonjahromi Authia P. Gray Mahsa Ahadi Mohammed Usman Ali Zelalem Asmare Hana J. Abukhadijah Alemwork Abie Amani Alansari Asnake Gashaw Belayneh Yaser Mohammed Al-Worafi Filippos Anagnostakis Daniel T. Araki Hassan Abolhassani Sabah Al-Marwani Gokce Belge Bilgin Mohammad Mahdi Bastan Meqdad Saleh Ahmed Rebecca L. Hsu Abiye Assefa Berihun Erin Chung Hiba Jawdat Barqawi Julie Alaere Atta Nurila Aryntayeva Wakgari Mosisa Abdisa Redeat Libanos Assefa Syed Anees Ahmed Haroon Ahmed Sadat Abdulla Aziz Avinash Aujayeb Tomislav Mestrovic

Publication Name: Lancet Global Health

Publication Date: 2025-12-01

Volume: 13

Issue: 12

Page Range: e2013-e2026

Description:

Background: The global burden of sepsis, a life-threatening dysregulated host response to infection leading to organ dysfunction, remains challenging to quantify. We aimed to comprehensively estimate the global, regional, and national burden of sepsis, including the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and underlying causes of sepsis-related deaths with co-occurring infectious syndromes. Methods: We used multiple cause-of-death, hospital, minimally invasive tissue sampling, and linked death certificate and hospital record data representing 149 million deaths, covering 4290 location-years with mortality estimates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 to capture explicit and implicit sepsis cases and deaths. We estimated age-location-sex-specific fractions of sepsis-related deaths from 195 underlying causes of death and 22 infectious syndromes from 1990 to 2021 using binomial logistic regression models, and estimated sepsis-related deaths using GBD cause-specific mortality estimates. Using 250 million hospital admissions and 7·82 million deaths from hospital data, representing 1310 location-years, we modelled case fatality rates by use of binomial logistic regression, applied to sepsis death estimates to estimate sepsis incidence by age, location, and year. Findings: In 2021, we estimated 166 million (95% uncertainty interval 135–201) sepsis cases and 21·4 million (20·3–22·5) all-cause sepsis-related deaths globally, representing 31·5% of total global deaths. Sepsis-related deaths decreased between 1990 and 2019, followed by a surge in 2020 and 2021. As of 2021, individuals aged 15 years and older experienced increases across incidence (230%) and mortality (26·3%) since 1990. Those aged 70 years and older had the highest sepsis-related mortality in 2021 (9·28 million [8·74–9·86] deaths). Sepsis-related deaths from infectious underlying causes decreased from 11·8 million (11·1–12·5) in 1990 to 8·34 million (7·72–9·01) in 2019, then increased by 86·4% to 15·5 million (14·7–16·4) in 2021. Sepsis-related mortality due to non-infectious underlying causes of death increased from 4·69 million (4·35–5·05) in 1990 to 5·81 million (5·40–6·25) in 2021; the leading non-infectious underlying causes of death with sepsis were stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and cirrhosis. In 2021, bloodstream infections inclusive of HIV and malaria (3·08 million [2·83–3·35]) and lower respiratory infections inclusive of COVID-19 (11·33 million [1·20–1·47]) were the most prominent infectious syndromes complicating sepsis-related deaths from non-infectious underlying causes, representing a consistent trend since 1990. Interpretation: The global burden of sepsis increased in 2020 and 2021, reversing progress from 1990. Sepsis incidence and mortality increased in people aged 15 years and older, especially those aged 70 years and older, and as a complication of non-infectious underlying causes of death such as stroke, primarily through bloodstream infections and lower respiratory infections. The global burden of sepsis is substantial, and sepsis is increasingly a complication of non-infectious causes of death. Funding: Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and Department of Health and Social Care using UK aid funding managed by the Fleming Fund.

Open Access: Yes

DOI: 10.1016/S2214-109X(25)00356-0